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Round 1 · 2026-03-08

Australia

Albert Park

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 1. 0 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestLando Norris 0.1171

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.1171lando-norris
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0796lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.0680george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.0631charles-leclerc
  5. 5Arvid Lindblad0.0580arvid-lindblad
  6. 6Valtteri Bottas0.0572valtteri-bottas
  7. 7Fernando Alonso0.0550fernando-alonso
  8. 8Sergio Perez0.0510sergio-perez
  9. 9Alexander Albon0.0501alexander-albon
  10. 10Esteban Ocon0.0501esteban-ocon
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0501franco-colapinto
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0501gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0501isack-hadjar
  14. 14Kimi Antonelli0.0501kimi-antonelli
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.0501liam-lawson
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0501oliver-bearman
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0501pierre-gasly
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Lando Norris 0.5340

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.5340lando-norris
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.3389charles-leclerc
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.3081lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Valtteri Bottas0.1788valtteri-bottas
  5. 5George Russell0.1741george-russell
  6. 6Arvid Lindblad0.1643arvid-lindblad
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.1558kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.1435liam-lawson
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.1363fernando-alonso
  10. 10Sergio Perez0.1214sergio-perez
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.1071pierre-gasly
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.1071esteban-ocon
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.1062alexander-albon
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.1062franco-colapinto
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.1062gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Isack Hadjar0.1062isack-hadjar
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.1062oliver-bearman
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1617

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1617max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0683lando-norris
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0664lewis-hamilton
  4. 4George Russell0.0518george-russell
  5. 5Fernando Alonso0.0455fernando-alonso
  6. 6Arvid Lindblad0.0452arvid-lindblad
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0431charles-leclerc
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0426valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Sergio Perez0.0410sergio-perez
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0407carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0397pierre-gasly
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.0397esteban-ocon
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.0393alexander-albon
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0393franco-colapinto
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0393gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Isack Hadjar0.0393isack-hadjar
  17. 17Kimi Antonelli0.0393kimi-antonelli
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0393lance-stroll
  19. 19Liam Lawson0.0393liam-lawson
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0393oliver-bearman
Grand Prix race, top 3Max Verstappen 0.5327

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.5327max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3173lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.1962george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.1942charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.1830lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Carlos Sainz Jr0.1556carlos-sainz-jr
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.1553kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.1279valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.1264arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1236fernando-alonso
  11. 11Sergio Perez0.1051sergio-perez
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0908isack-hadjar
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.0889pierre-gasly
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0881esteban-ocon
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.0872lance-stroll
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0872alexander-albon
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.0851franco-colapinto
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0851gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Liam Lawson0.0851liam-lawson
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0851oliver-bearman
Grand Prix race, top 6Max Verstappen 0.7330

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.7330max-verstappen
  2. 2George Russell0.5749george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.5474lando-norris
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.5424kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.5329charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.3633lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Carlos Sainz Jr0.3359carlos-sainz-jr
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.2644fernando-alonso
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.2527arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.2272valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.2117oliver-bearman
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.1954sergio-perez
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.1803isack-hadjar
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.1654liam-lawson
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1593alexander-albon
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.1565pierre-gasly
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.1526esteban-ocon
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.1432lance-stroll
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.1344gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.1271franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 10Max Verstappen 0.7815

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.7815max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.7294lando-norris
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7221charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.7104lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.7007george-russell
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.6185kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Fernando Alonso0.5534fernando-alonso
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.5505carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.5156oliver-bearman
  10. 10Sergio Perez0.5092sergio-perez
  11. 11Esteban Ocon0.4641esteban-ocon
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.4506arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.4308isack-hadjar
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.3910liam-lawson
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.3596valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.3515pierre-gasly
  17. 17Lance Stroll0.3308lance-stroll
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.3054alexander-albon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.2938gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.2311franco-colapinto
After free practiceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestLando Norris 0.1096

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.1096lando-norris
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0846lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.0702george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.0681charles-leclerc
  5. 5Arvid Lindblad0.0609arvid-lindblad
  6. 6Fernando Alonso0.0550fernando-alonso
  7. 7Valtteri Bottas0.0545valtteri-bottas
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0533isack-hadjar
  9. 9Kimi Antonelli0.0516kimi-antonelli
  10. 10Gabriel Bortoleto0.0512gabriel-bortoleto
  11. 11Esteban Ocon0.0503esteban-ocon
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.0495liam-lawson
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0491oliver-bearman
  14. 14Alexander Albon0.0487alexander-albon
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0483franco-colapinto
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0476sergio-perez
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0475pierre-gasly
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Lando Norris 0.4758

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.4758lando-norris
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.3792charles-leclerc
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.3414lewis-hamilton
  4. 4George Russell0.1854george-russell
  5. 5Arvid Lindblad0.1817arvid-lindblad
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.1640kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Valtteri Bottas0.1588valtteri-bottas
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.1388fernando-alonso
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.1384liam-lawson
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.1223isack-hadjar
  11. 11Gabriel Bortoleto0.1113gabriel-bortoleto
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.1080esteban-ocon
  13. 13Sergio Perez0.1027sergio-perez
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.1011oliver-bearman
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.0992alexander-albon
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0973franco-colapinto
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0945pierre-gasly
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1647

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1647max-verstappen
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0703lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0638lando-norris
  4. 4George Russell0.0534george-russell
  5. 5Arvid Lindblad0.0475arvid-lindblad
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0468charles-leclerc
  7. 7Fernando Alonso0.0453fernando-alonso
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0418isack-hadjar
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0406valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0404carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Kimi Antonelli0.0404kimi-antonelli
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0401gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0398esteban-ocon
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.0388liam-lawson
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0385oliver-bearman
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0381alexander-albon
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0381sergio-perez
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.0378franco-colapinto
  19. 19Pierre Gasly0.0376pierre-gasly
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0363lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Max Verstappen 0.5413

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.5413max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.2760lando-norris
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.2238charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.2076lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.2061george-russell
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.1625kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Carlos Sainz Jr0.1519carlos-sainz-jr
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.1410arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.1240fernando-alonso
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.1141valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.1053isack-hadjar
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0902gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0896esteban-ocon
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0891sergio-perez
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.0834liam-lawson
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0820alexander-albon
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0818oliver-bearman
  18. 18Pierre Gasly0.0788pierre-gasly
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0786franco-colapinto
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0729lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Max Verstappen 0.7532

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.7532max-verstappen
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.5996charles-leclerc
  3. 3George Russell0.5864george-russell
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.5477kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Lando Norris0.4538lando-norris
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.4321lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Carlos Sainz Jr0.3235carlos-sainz-jr
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.2980arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.2584fernando-alonso
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.2279isack-hadjar
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.1985oliver-bearman
  12. 12Valtteri Bottas0.1933valtteri-bottas
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.1621liam-lawson
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.1594esteban-ocon
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.1526sergio-perez
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.1510gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.1466alexander-albon
  18. 18Pierre Gasly0.1312pierre-gasly
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.1150franco-colapinto
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.1095lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Max Verstappen 0.8244

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.8244max-verstappen
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.7954charles-leclerc
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.7770lewis-hamilton
  4. 4George Russell0.7239george-russell
  5. 5Kimi Antonelli0.6429kimi-antonelli
  6. 6Lando Norris0.6259lando-norris
  7. 7Carlos Sainz Jr0.5393carlos-sainz-jr
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5258arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.5197fernando-alonso
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.5181isack-hadjar
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.4881oliver-bearman
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.4733esteban-ocon
  13. 13Sergio Perez0.4183sergio-perez
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.3879liam-lawson
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.3353gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.3211valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.3062pierre-gasly
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.2924alexander-albon
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.2647lance-stroll
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.2203franco-colapinto
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winGeorge Russell 0.4535

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.4535george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.2486kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Isack Hadjar0.1259isack-hadjar
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.0620charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.0374lando-norris
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0201lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Liam Lawson0.0156liam-lawson
  8. 8Gabriel Bortoleto0.0110gabriel-bortoleto
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0065pierre-gasly
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0046arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0029fernando-alonso
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.0028esteban-ocon
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0027oliver-bearman
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0019franco-colapinto
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.0017lance-stroll
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0010valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0010sergio-perez
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0009alexander-albon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0000carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Max Verstappen0.0000max-verstappen
Grand Prix race, top 3Max Verstappen 0.4042

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.4042max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3337lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.3184george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.2930charles-leclerc
  5. 5Kimi Antonelli0.2492kimi-antonelli
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2363lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Isack Hadjar0.1615isack-hadjar
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.1482arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0996liam-lawson
  10. 10Gabriel Bortoleto0.0934gabriel-bortoleto
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0847fernando-alonso
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.0776carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0772esteban-ocon
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.0763oliver-bearman
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.0674valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.0655pierre-gasly
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0633alexander-albon
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.0571franco-colapinto
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0571sergio-perez
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0364lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6George Russell 0.7480

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.7480george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6959kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.6918charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.5304lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.4851max-verstappen
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.4763lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Isack Hadjar0.3734isack-hadjar
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.3215arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.2173liam-lawson
  10. 10Oliver Bearman0.1938oliver-bearman
  11. 11Gabriel Bortoleto0.1779gabriel-bortoleto
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.1761fernando-alonso
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.1573carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.1500esteban-ocon
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1216alexander-albon
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.1205pierre-gasly
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.1136valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.1008sergio-perez
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0928franco-colapinto
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0560lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Charles Leclerc 0.8487

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Charles Leclerc0.8487charles-leclerc
  2. 2George Russell0.8451george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.7904lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.7762kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7012lando-norris
  6. 6Isack Hadjar0.6686isack-hadjar
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6098max-verstappen
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5649arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.4854oliver-bearman
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.4786liam-lawson
  11. 11Esteban Ocon0.4535esteban-ocon
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.4213fernando-alonso
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.3978gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.3640carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.3333sergio-perez
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.3134pierre-gasly
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.2872alexander-albon
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.2531valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.2215franco-colapinto
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.1860lance-stroll