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Round 4 · 2026-05-03 Sprint

Miami

Miami

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 4. 3 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Sprint qualifying, quickestOscar Piastri 0.0678

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.0678oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0620lando-norris
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0611kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0594max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.0564george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0533lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0489charles-leclerc
  8. 8Oliver Bearman0.0433oliver-bearman
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0431pierre-gasly
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0427liam-lawson
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0424isack-hadjar
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0423arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0422esteban-ocon
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0422franco-colapinto
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0419carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0419gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0418alexander-albon
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0418nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0418fernando-alonso
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0418sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0418valtteri-bottas
Sprint qualifying, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.4018

Chance of a top-three shootout finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.4018oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3810lando-norris
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.2593kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2300max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.2045george-russell
  6. 6Sergio Perez0.1512sergio-perez
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.1353lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Charles Leclerc0.1326charles-leclerc
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.0878oliver-bearman
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0876carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0871pierre-gasly
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0868fernando-alonso
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0859liam-lawson
  14. 14Isack Hadjar0.0848isack-hadjar
  15. 15Arvid Lindblad0.0846arvid-lindblad
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0844esteban-ocon
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.0842franco-colapinto
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0831gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0827alexander-albon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0827nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0825valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, winMax Verstappen 0.0965

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.0965max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0768lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.0695oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.0610george-russell
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.0553lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.0488kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0462charles-leclerc
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0462valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Sergio Perez0.0435sergio-perez
  10. 10Oliver Bearman0.0424oliver-bearman
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0422pierre-gasly
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.0419liam-lawson
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0416isack-hadjar
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0415esteban-ocon
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0414franco-colapinto
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0411carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0411gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0410alexander-albon
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0410fernando-alonso
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0410lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.3127

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.3127oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.2981lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.2744george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2511max-verstappen
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2049lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.1874charles-leclerc
  7. 7Sergio Perez0.1763sergio-perez
  8. 8Kimi Antonelli0.1617kimi-antonelli
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.1281carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.1016valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0964pierre-gasly
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.0936oliver-bearman
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0915liam-lawson
  14. 14Isack Hadjar0.0904isack-hadjar
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0899esteban-ocon
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0897franco-colapinto
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0885gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0880alexander-albon
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0878fernando-alonso
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0878lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 6Charles Leclerc 0.6814

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Charles Leclerc0.6814charles-leclerc
  2. 2George Russell0.6594george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.5497lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.5333max-verstappen
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.4969lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.4874oscar-piastri
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.4459kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.3520carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Sergio Perez0.3056sergio-perez
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1550fernando-alonso
  11. 11Esteban Ocon0.1530esteban-ocon
  12. 12Lance Stroll0.1478lance-stroll
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.1428alexander-albon
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.1402valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Pierre Gasly0.1339pierre-gasly
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.1294oliver-bearman
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.1248liam-lawson
  18. 18Isack Hadjar0.1223isack-hadjar
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.1209franco-colapinto
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.1181gabriel-bortoleto
Sprint race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7884

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7884kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7690george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7461charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.6876lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.6846max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.6840lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.6468oscar-piastri
  8. 8Sergio Perez0.5680sergio-perez
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.5208carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.4915isack-hadjar
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.4520pierre-gasly
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.3959liam-lawson
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.3708fernando-alonso
  14. 14Lance Stroll0.3611lance-stroll
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.3502oliver-bearman
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.3409esteban-ocon
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.3256alexander-albon
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.2930gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.2876valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.2361franco-colapinto
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestLando Norris 0.0856

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.0856lando-norris
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.0808max-verstappen
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0727kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0607lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0552george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0538oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0487charles-leclerc
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0401valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0385fernando-alonso
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0366carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.0362oliver-bearman
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0361pierre-gasly
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0358liam-lawson
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0358sergio-perez
  15. 15Isack Hadjar0.0356isack-hadjar
  16. 16Arvid Lindblad0.0355arvid-lindblad
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0355esteban-ocon
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0355lance-stroll
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0354franco-colapinto
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0354nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.0353gabriel-bortoleto
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0352alexander-albon
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Lando Norris 0.3420

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.3420lando-norris
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3097max-verstappen
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.2858oscar-piastri
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.2635kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2587lewis-hamilton
  6. 6George Russell0.2143george-russell
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.1977charles-leclerc
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.1080valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.1048carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0906isack-hadjar
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0827fernando-alonso
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.0737sergio-perez
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0700liam-lawson
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.0688pierre-gasly
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0687oliver-bearman
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.0667nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0664esteban-ocon
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0662lance-stroll
  19. 19Arvid Lindblad0.0661arvid-lindblad
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.0657franco-colapinto
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.0650gabriel-bortoleto
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0647alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1089

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1089max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.0710kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0648lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0644lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.0542george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0474oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0430charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0408fernando-alonso
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0382valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Sergio Perez0.0368sergio-perez
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0367pierre-gasly
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.0367carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0364oliver-bearman
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0360esteban-ocon
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.0360liam-lawson
  16. 16Isack Hadjar0.0358isack-hadjar
  17. 17Arvid Lindblad0.0357arvid-lindblad
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.0356franco-colapinto
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0354gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0353alexander-albon
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0353nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0353lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Max Verstappen 0.3417

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.3417max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.3043kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.2458lando-norris
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.2317oscar-piastri
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.2304charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2137lewis-hamilton
  7. 7George Russell0.2111george-russell
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1070carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.1065valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1032fernando-alonso
  11. 11Sergio Perez0.0878sergio-perez
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0785pierre-gasly
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0775isack-hadjar
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.0758oliver-bearman
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0753esteban-ocon
  16. 16Liam Lawson0.0742liam-lawson
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0731alexander-albon
  18. 18Arvid Lindblad0.0731arvid-lindblad
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0730lance-stroll
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.0727franco-colapinto
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0719nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0718gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.5998

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.5998kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.5675george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.5489charles-leclerc
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.5407oscar-piastri
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5250max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5238lando-norris
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.4521lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.2321carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.2239oliver-bearman
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.2112fernando-alonso
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.1809valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.1635pierre-gasly
  13. 13Sergio Perez0.1559sergio-perez
  14. 14Isack Hadjar0.1479isack-hadjar
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1275alexander-albon
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.1262esteban-ocon
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.1232nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.1162liam-lawson
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.1144lance-stroll
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.1083gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Arvid Lindblad0.1059arvid-lindblad
  22. 22Franco Colapinto0.1051franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 10George Russell 0.7085

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.7085george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6995kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.6903charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.6740lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Lando Norris0.6527lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6498oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6337max-verstappen
  8. 8Oliver Bearman0.4636oliver-bearman
  9. 9Esteban Ocon0.4311esteban-ocon
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4228pierre-gasly
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.4205carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.4063nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.3847liam-lawson
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.3827fernando-alonso
  15. 15Isack Hadjar0.3671isack-hadjar
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.3471sergio-perez
  17. 17Arvid Lindblad0.3354arvid-lindblad
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.2956valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.2809gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.2724lance-stroll
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.2521alexander-albon
  22. 22Franco Colapinto0.2292franco-colapinto
After free practiceHistory
Sprint qualifying, quickestOscar Piastri 0.0761

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.0761oscar-piastri
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.0687max-verstappen
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0662kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0649lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.0603george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0597lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0585charles-leclerc
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0453pierre-gasly
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0438isack-hadjar
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0424carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0418franco-colapinto
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.0410oliver-bearman
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.0406alexander-albon
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0390gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.0381nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0376esteban-ocon
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.0372liam-lawson
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0357sergio-perez
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0349fernando-alonso
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0342valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Arvid Lindblad0.0339arvid-lindblad
Sprint qualifying, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.4243

Chance of a top-three shootout finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.4243oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3760lando-norris
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.2780kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2699max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.2191george-russell
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.1723charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.1604lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Sergio Perez0.1152sergio-perez
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0948pierre-gasly
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0895isack-hadjar
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0892carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0831franco-colapinto
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0807oliver-bearman
  14. 14Alexander Albon0.0790alexander-albon
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0741gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.0713nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0702esteban-ocon
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0690liam-lawson
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0650fernando-alonso
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0598valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Arvid Lindblad0.0592arvid-lindblad
Sprint race, winMax Verstappen 0.1107

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1107max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0801lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.0796oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.0649george-russell
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.0624lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0563charles-leclerc
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.0537kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0443pierre-gasly
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0428isack-hadjar
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0413carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0406franco-colapinto
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.0394oliver-bearman
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.0393alexander-albon
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0375gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.0362valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0359esteban-ocon
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0359sergio-perez
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0353liam-lawson
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0330fernando-alonso
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0306lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.3501

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.3501oscar-piastri
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3030max-verstappen
  3. 3Lando Norris0.2987lando-norris
  4. 4George Russell0.2848george-russell
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.2455charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2385lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.1868kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1262carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Sergio Perez0.1215sergio-perez
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1062pierre-gasly
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0961isack-hadjar
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0874franco-colapinto
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0829oliver-bearman
  14. 14Alexander Albon0.0822alexander-albon
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0755gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0699esteban-ocon
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.0678liam-lawson
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0654valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0596fernando-alonso
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0519lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 6Charles Leclerc 0.7773

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Charles Leclerc0.7773charles-leclerc
  2. 2George Russell0.6702george-russell
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.6535max-verstappen
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.5925oscar-piastri
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.5786lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5640lando-norris
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.5103kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.3352carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Sergio Perez0.1805sergio-perez
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1572pierre-gasly
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.1356isack-hadjar
  12. 12Alexander Albon0.1274alexander-albon
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.1168franco-colapinto
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.1078oliver-bearman
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.1027esteban-ocon
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0925gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Fernando Alonso0.0841fernando-alonso
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0784liam-lawson
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0710valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0644lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 10Charles Leclerc 0.8833

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Charles Leclerc0.8833charles-leclerc
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.8498kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.8264max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.8182george-russell
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.7920lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.7801oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.7331lando-norris
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.5320carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.5266isack-hadjar
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.5116pierre-gasly
  11. 11Sergio Perez0.4074sergio-perez
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.3233oliver-bearman
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.3199alexander-albon
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.2928liam-lawson
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.2675esteban-ocon
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.2600gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.2547franco-colapinto
  18. 18Fernando Alonso0.2446fernando-alonso
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.1987lance-stroll
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.1781valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestLando Norris 0.0867

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.0867lando-norris
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.0848max-verstappen
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0744kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0628lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.0567oscar-piastri
  6. 6George Russell0.0564george-russell
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0520charles-leclerc
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0372valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0371pierre-gasly
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0370carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0363isack-hadjar
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0361fernando-alonso
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0357oliver-bearman
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0355franco-colapinto
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.0350alexander-albon
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0345gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0344nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0342liam-lawson
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0341esteban-ocon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0339sergio-perez
  21. 21Arvid Lindblad0.0328arvid-lindblad
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0325lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Lando Norris 0.3425

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.3425lando-norris
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3276max-verstappen
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.3011oscar-piastri
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.2706kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2694lewis-hamilton
  6. 6George Russell0.2198george-russell
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2189charles-leclerc
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1058carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0935isack-hadjar
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0906valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0730pierre-gasly
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0709fernando-alonso
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0662oliver-bearman
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0661franco-colapinto
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.0646sergio-perez
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0639alexander-albon
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.0625liam-lawson
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0622nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0618gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0606esteban-ocon
  21. 21Arvid Lindblad0.0547arvid-lindblad
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0538lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1128

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1128max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.0727kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0670lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0656lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.0554george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0501oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0462charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0383fernando-alonso
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0377pierre-gasly
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0371carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0365isack-hadjar
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.0359oliver-bearman
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0357franco-colapinto
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.0355valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.0352alexander-albon
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0348sergio-perez
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0347gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0347esteban-ocon
  19. 19Liam Lawson0.0344liam-lawson
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0343nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Arvid Lindblad0.0330arvid-lindblad
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0323lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Max Verstappen 0.3577

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.3577max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.3095kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.2529charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2493lando-norris
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.2487oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2258lewis-hamilton
  7. 7George Russell0.2170george-russell
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1085carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0893valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0883fernando-alonso
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0837pierre-gasly
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0812isack-hadjar
  13. 13Sergio Perez0.0769sergio-perez
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0735franco-colapinto
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0735oliver-bearman
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0726alexander-albon
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0689esteban-ocon
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0686gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0673nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Liam Lawson0.0666liam-lawson
  21. 21Arvid Lindblad0.0606arvid-lindblad
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0595lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6054

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6054kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.5858charles-leclerc
  3. 3George Russell0.5716george-russell
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.5698oscar-piastri
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5631max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5299lando-norris
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.4822lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.2401carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.2144oliver-bearman
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1837pierre-gasly
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.1713fernando-alonso
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.1634isack-hadjar
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.1424valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.1310sergio-perez
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1303alexander-albon
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.1150nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.1137esteban-ocon
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.1124franco-colapinto
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.1052gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Liam Lawson0.1018liam-lawson
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0856lance-stroll
  22. 22Arvid Lindblad0.0819arvid-lindblad
Grand Prix race, top 10Charles Leclerc 0.7380

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Charles Leclerc0.7380charles-leclerc
  2. 2George Russell0.7203george-russell
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.7184kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.7062lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.6963oscar-piastri
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.6919max-verstappen
  7. 7Lando Norris0.6700lando-norris
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.4616pierre-gasly
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.4526oliver-bearman
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.4417carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.4017isack-hadjar
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.3967esteban-ocon
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.3845nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.3471liam-lawson
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.3281fernando-alonso
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.3057sergio-perez
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.2805gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Arvid Lindblad0.2728arvid-lindblad
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.2685alexander-albon
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.2544franco-colapinto
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.2472valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.2157lance-stroll
After sprint qualifyingHistory
Sprint race, winMax Verstappen 0.1209

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1209max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0979lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.0903oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.0656george-russell
  5. 5Fernando Alonso0.0654fernando-alonso
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.0620kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Lance Stroll0.0611lance-stroll
  8. 8Lewis Hamilton0.0604lewis-hamilton
  9. 9Charles Leclerc0.0601charles-leclerc
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0377isack-hadjar
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0376pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0372franco-colapinto
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0306gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0300carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0298oliver-bearman
  16. 16Liam Lawson0.0237liam-lawson
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0234alexander-albon
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0232esteban-ocon
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0224sergio-perez
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0209valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.4160

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.4160oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.4149lando-norris
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.3267max-verstappen
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.2939charles-leclerc
  5. 5George Russell0.2872george-russell
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.2758kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.2273lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0983fernando-alonso
  9. 9Lance Stroll0.0879lance-stroll
  10. 10Franco Colapinto0.0869franco-colapinto
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0852isack-hadjar
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0840pierre-gasly
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0655carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0563gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0496oliver-bearman
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0417sergio-perez
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.0301liam-lawson
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0278esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0259alexander-albon
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0189valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, top 6Charles Leclerc 0.8053

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Charles Leclerc0.8053charles-leclerc
  2. 2Lando Norris0.7562lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.7134oscar-piastri
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.6956kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.6879max-verstappen
  6. 6George Russell0.6691george-russell
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.5609lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1607carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Franco Colapinto0.1426franco-colapinto
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.1409isack-hadjar
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.1395pierre-gasly
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.1209fernando-alonso
  13. 13Lance Stroll0.0977lance-stroll
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0776gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0665oliver-bearman
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0499sergio-perez
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0352esteban-ocon
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0324liam-lawson
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0317alexander-albon
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0161valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.9686

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.9686kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.9463lando-norris
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.9458charles-leclerc
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.9247oscar-piastri
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.8945max-verstappen
  6. 6George Russell0.8680george-russell
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.8240lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.5725isack-hadjar
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.5221pierre-gasly
  10. 10Franco Colapinto0.4244franco-colapinto
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.3521carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.2999fernando-alonso
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.2990gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.2725oliver-bearman
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.2590lance-stroll
  16. 16Liam Lawson0.1629liam-lawson
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.1558sergio-perez
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.1325esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.1162alexander-albon
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0591valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestLando Norris 0.0885

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.0885lando-norris
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.0858max-verstappen
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0757kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0630lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.0574oscar-piastri
  6. 6George Russell0.0567george-russell
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0526charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0379fernando-alonso
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0367pierre-gasly
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0363carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0360isack-hadjar
  12. 12Valtteri Bottas0.0359valtteri-bottas
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0354franco-colapinto
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.0350oliver-bearman
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.0341lance-stroll
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0341gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0338nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0338alexander-albon
  19. 19Liam Lawson0.0333liam-lawson
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0331esteban-ocon
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0328sergio-perez
  22. 22Arvid Lindblad0.0320arvid-lindblad
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Lando Norris 0.3567

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.3567lando-norris
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3376max-verstappen
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.3093oscar-piastri
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.2767kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2724lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2200charles-leclerc
  7. 7George Russell0.2199george-russell
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1001carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0895isack-hadjar
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0838valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0793fernando-alonso
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0693pierre-gasly
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0630franco-colapinto
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.0621oliver-bearman
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.0601lance-stroll
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0597sergio-perez
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0588alexander-albon
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0584nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0583gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Liam Lawson0.0581liam-lawson
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0561esteban-ocon
  22. 22Arvid Lindblad0.0508arvid-lindblad
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1142

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1142max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.0730kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0670lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0658lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.0553george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0500oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0461charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0409fernando-alonso
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0373pierre-gasly
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0366carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0361isack-hadjar
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.0354oliver-bearman
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0354franco-colapinto
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.0349valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.0346lance-stroll
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0346alexander-albon
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0343gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0342sergio-perez
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0341esteban-ocon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0339nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Liam Lawson0.0338liam-lawson
  22. 22Arvid Lindblad0.0325arvid-lindblad
Grand Prix race, top 3Max Verstappen 0.3721

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.3721max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.3224kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.2587charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2577lando-norris
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.2550oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2268lewis-hamilton
  7. 7George Russell0.2186george-russell
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1021carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0977fernando-alonso
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0808valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0801pierre-gasly
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0780isack-hadjar
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0709franco-colapinto
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0701sergio-perez
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0689oliver-bearman
  16. 16Lance Stroll0.0658lance-stroll
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0658alexander-albon
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0649gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0634nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0630esteban-ocon
  21. 21Liam Lawson0.0612liam-lawson
  22. 22Arvid Lindblad0.0559arvid-lindblad
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6443

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6443kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.6172charles-leclerc
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.6007oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.5960george-russell
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5882max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5601lando-norris
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.4908lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.2170carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.1941oliver-bearman
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1880fernando-alonso
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.1701pierre-gasly
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.1520isack-hadjar
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.1170valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.1096sergio-perez
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1079alexander-albon
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.1045franco-colapinto
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.1023nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0957esteban-ocon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0944gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0940lance-stroll
  21. 21Liam Lawson0.0863liam-lawson
  22. 22Arvid Lindblad0.0698arvid-lindblad
Grand Prix race, top 10Charles Leclerc 0.7724

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Charles Leclerc0.7724charles-leclerc
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7571kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.7482george-russell
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.7312oscar-piastri
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.7301lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.7208max-verstappen
  7. 7Lando Norris0.7098lando-norris
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.4579pierre-gasly
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.4368oliver-bearman
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.4218carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.3995isack-hadjar
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3705nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.3646esteban-ocon
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.3450fernando-alonso
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.3188liam-lawson
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.2720sergio-perez
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.2693gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.2523franco-colapinto
  19. 19Arvid Lindblad0.2495arvid-lindblad
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.2340alexander-albon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.2268lance-stroll
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.2115valtteri-bottas
After the sprint raceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestLando Norris 0.0902

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.0902lando-norris
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.0865max-verstappen
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0764kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0632lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.0584oscar-piastri
  6. 6George Russell0.0574george-russell
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0533charles-leclerc
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0367pierre-gasly
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0365fernando-alonso
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0359isack-hadjar
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0357carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0352franco-colapinto
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0351gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0348nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.0346valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0346oliver-bearman
  17. 17Arvid Lindblad0.0329arvid-lindblad
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0328alexander-albon
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0327esteban-ocon
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0326lance-stroll
  21. 21Liam Lawson0.0326liam-lawson
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0319sergio-perez
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Lando Norris 0.3664

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.3664lando-norris
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3417max-verstappen
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.3168oscar-piastri
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.2803kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2733lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2249charles-leclerc
  7. 7George Russell0.2234george-russell
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.0959carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0883isack-hadjar
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0768valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0715fernando-alonso
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0685pierre-gasly
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0623nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0622gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0618franco-colapinto
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0598oliver-bearman
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0556sergio-perez
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0549liam-lawson
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0542alexander-albon
  20. 20Arvid Lindblad0.0539arvid-lindblad
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0538esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0535lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1153

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1153max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.0737kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0672lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0671lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.0559george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0509oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0467charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0391fernando-alonso
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0372pierre-gasly
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0360isack-hadjar
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0360carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0358gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0353nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0352franco-colapinto
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0349oliver-bearman
  16. 16Arvid Lindblad0.0337arvid-lindblad
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.0336valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0336esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0335alexander-albon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0333sergio-perez
  21. 21Liam Lawson0.0331liam-lawson
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0329lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Max Verstappen 0.3785

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.3785max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.3272kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.2698lando-norris
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.2670charles-leclerc
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.2651oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2280lewis-hamilton
  7. 7George Russell0.2242george-russell
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.0967carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0874fernando-alonso
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0794pierre-gasly
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0767isack-hadjar
  12. 12Valtteri Bottas0.0720valtteri-bottas
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0692franco-colapinto
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0688gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.0671nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0657oliver-bearman
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0642sergio-perez
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0603esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0590alexander-albon
  20. 20Arvid Lindblad0.0590arvid-lindblad
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0575lance-stroll
  22. 22Liam Lawson0.0571liam-lawson
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6577

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6577kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.6368charles-leclerc
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.6230oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.6121george-russell
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.6018max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5857lando-norris
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.4959lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.2024carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.1827oliver-bearman
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1677pierre-gasly
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.1621fernando-alonso
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.1483isack-hadjar
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.1113nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.1029gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.1006franco-colapinto
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0993valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0966sergio-perez
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0926alexander-albon
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0896esteban-ocon
  20. 20Liam Lawson0.0779liam-lawson
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0774lance-stroll
  22. 22Arvid Lindblad0.0757arvid-lindblad
Grand Prix race, top 10Charles Leclerc 0.7922

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Charles Leclerc0.7922charles-leclerc
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7723kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.7653george-russell
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.7528oscar-piastri
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.7411lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.7359max-verstappen
  7. 7Lando Norris0.7339lando-norris
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.4580pierre-gasly
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.4254oliver-bearman
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.4075carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.3967isack-hadjar
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3960nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.3534esteban-ocon
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.3113fernando-alonso
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.3019liam-lawson
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.2906gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Arvid Lindblad0.2681arvid-lindblad
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.2519sergio-perez
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.2474franco-colapinto
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.2120alexander-albon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.1972lance-stroll
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.1892valtteri-bottas
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.4153

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4153kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.2263max-verstappen
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.1146charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0564lando-norris
  5. 5Isack Hadjar0.0430isack-hadjar
  6. 6George Russell0.0407george-russell
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.0341lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.0183oscar-piastri
  9. 9Franco Colapinto0.0142franco-colapinto
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.0100nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Esteban Ocon0.0059esteban-ocon
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.0050liam-lawson
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.0042pierre-gasly
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.0026fernando-alonso
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0025carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0025oliver-bearman
  17. 17Arvid Lindblad0.0017arvid-lindblad
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0009valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0009lance-stroll
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0008alexander-albon
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.0000gabriel-bortoleto
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0000sergio-perez
Grand Prix race, top 3Max Verstappen 0.4390

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.4390max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.3988kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.3060charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2997lando-norris
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.2548oscar-piastri
  6. 6George Russell0.2392george-russell
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.2315lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.1493isack-hadjar
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0739pierre-gasly
  10. 10Franco Colapinto0.0703franco-colapinto
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0695carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0632nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0520oliver-bearman
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.0519fernando-alonso
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.0494liam-lawson
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0426esteban-ocon
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0387alexander-albon
  18. 18Arvid Lindblad0.0386arvid-lindblad
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0367valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0330lance-stroll
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.0314gabriel-bortoleto
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0306sergio-perez
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.7278

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7278kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.6781charles-leclerc
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.6661max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.6242george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.6230lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.5975oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.5010lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.2338isack-hadjar
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.1790pierre-gasly
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.1569carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.1563oliver-bearman
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.1305franco-colapinto
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.1271nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.1020fernando-alonso
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.0850liam-lawson
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0751esteban-ocon
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0702alexander-albon
  18. 18Arvid Lindblad0.0596arvid-lindblad
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0547valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0514lance-stroll
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.0511gabriel-bortoleto
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0495sergio-perez
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8269

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8269kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.8173charles-leclerc
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.7871max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.7786george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7679lando-norris
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.7439lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.7423oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.4829pierre-gasly
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.4475isack-hadjar
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.4278nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.4090oliver-bearman
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.3755carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.3314franco-colapinto
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.3293liam-lawson
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.3227esteban-ocon
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.2557fernando-alonso
  17. 17Arvid Lindblad0.2456arvid-lindblad
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.2039alexander-albon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.2030gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.1806sergio-perez
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.1702lance-stroll
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.1510valtteri-bottas