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Round 5 · 2026-05-24 Sprint

Canada

Gilles Villeneuve

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 5. 4 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Sprint qualifying, quickestLando Norris 0.0812

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.0812lando-norris
  2. 2Oscar Piastri0.0703oscar-piastri
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0679kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0656max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.0630george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0584lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0532charles-leclerc
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0461pierre-gasly
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.0461oliver-bearman
  10. 10Franco Colapinto0.0455franco-colapinto
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0455isack-hadjar
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.0450esteban-ocon
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0449carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0447gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.0446nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0445fernando-alonso
  17. 17Lance Stroll0.0445lance-stroll
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0445sergio-perez
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0445valtteri-bottas
Sprint qualifying, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.4591

Chance of a top-three shootout finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.4591oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.4369lando-norris
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.3263kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2440max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.1923george-russell
  6. 6Sergio Perez0.1519sergio-perez
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.1389lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Charles Leclerc0.1338charles-leclerc
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.0864carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0858pierre-gasly
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.0856oliver-bearman
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0849fernando-alonso
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0841isack-hadjar
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0841franco-colapinto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0825esteban-ocon
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0812gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0809nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0807lance-stroll
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0807valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, winMax Verstappen 0.0903

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.0903max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0812lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.0692oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.0601george-russell
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.0537lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.0486kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0444charles-leclerc
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0428valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Sergio Perez0.0407sergio-perez
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0399pierre-gasly
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.0398oliver-bearman
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0395isack-hadjar
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0394franco-colapinto
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.0394liam-lawson
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0390esteban-ocon
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0389carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0387alexander-albon
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0387gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0386nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Fernando Alonso0.0386fernando-alonso
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0386lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.3338

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.3338oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3205lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.2509george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2470max-verstappen
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2023lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.1897charles-leclerc
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.1629kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Sergio Perez0.1458sergio-perez
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.1213carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0946valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0908pierre-gasly
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.0873oliver-bearman
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0858isack-hadjar
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0857franco-colapinto
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.0855liam-lawson
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0840esteban-ocon
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0828alexander-albon
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0827gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0823nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Fernando Alonso0.0821fernando-alonso
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0821lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 6George Russell 0.6706

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.6706george-russell
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.6698charles-leclerc
  3. 3Lando Norris0.5845lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.5783max-verstappen
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.5247oscar-piastri
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.5229kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.4406lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.2912carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Sergio Perez0.2474sergio-perez
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1411fernando-alonso
  11. 11Esteban Ocon0.1392esteban-ocon
  12. 12Lance Stroll0.1346lance-stroll
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.1313alexander-albon
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.1263valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Pierre Gasly0.1228pierre-gasly
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.1166oliver-bearman
  17. 17Isack Hadjar0.1133isack-hadjar
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.1132franco-colapinto
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.1127nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Liam Lawson0.1126liam-lawson
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.1066gabriel-bortoleto
Sprint race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8020

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8020kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7693george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7305charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.7060lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.6765max-verstappen
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.6759lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.6675oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.5007isack-hadjar
  9. 9Sergio Perez0.4993sergio-perez
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.4577carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.4363pierre-gasly
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.3642liam-lawson
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.3446fernando-alonso
  14. 14Lance Stroll0.3356lance-stroll
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.3199oliver-bearman
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.3153esteban-ocon
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.3059nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.3029alexander-albon
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.2652franco-colapinto
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.2625valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.2621gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.0992

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.0992kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0907lando-norris
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0676max-verstappen
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0626lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0581george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0570oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0504charles-leclerc
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0405valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0390fernando-alonso
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0372carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0367pierre-gasly
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.0367oliver-bearman
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0363liam-lawson
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0363franco-colapinto
  15. 15Isack Hadjar0.0362isack-hadjar
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0362sergio-perez
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0359esteban-ocon
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0359lance-stroll
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0359nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0357gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0357alexander-albon
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3414

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3414kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3241max-verstappen
  3. 3Lando Norris0.3218lando-norris
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.2620oscar-piastri
  5. 5George Russell0.2317george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2267lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2089charles-leclerc
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.1095valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.1073carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0931isack-hadjar
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0840fernando-alonso
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.0749sergio-perez
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0711liam-lawson
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.0706pierre-gasly
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0698oliver-bearman
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0683franco-colapinto
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0678nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0675esteban-ocon
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0672lance-stroll
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0661alexander-albon
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.0661gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1107

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1107max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.0945kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0677lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0660lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0564george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0496oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0439charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0408fernando-alonso
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0382valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0369pierre-gasly
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0368carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.0368sergio-perez
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0364oliver-bearman
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0360esteban-ocon
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.0360liam-lawson
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0360franco-colapinto
  17. 17Isack Hadjar0.0360isack-hadjar
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0354gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0354alexander-albon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0353nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0353lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3670

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3670kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3067max-verstappen
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.2863oscar-piastri
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2635lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.2224george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2178lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.1995charles-leclerc
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1063carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.1049valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1017fernando-alonso
  11. 11Sergio Perez0.0865sergio-perez
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0782pierre-gasly
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0774isack-hadjar
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.0748oliver-bearman
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0743esteban-ocon
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0733franco-colapinto
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.0732liam-lawson
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0725alexander-albon
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0720lance-stroll
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0709nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.0708gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6256

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6256kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.6195george-russell
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.5676oscar-piastri
  4. 4Lando Norris0.5544lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5338max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.5156charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.5044lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.2307carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.2078fernando-alonso
  10. 10Oliver Bearman0.1861oliver-bearman
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.1778valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.1633pierre-gasly
  13. 13Sergio Perez0.1533sergio-perez
  14. 14Isack Hadjar0.1483isack-hadjar
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1264alexander-albon
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.1241esteban-ocon
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.1212nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.1141liam-lawson
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.1125lance-stroll
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.1072franco-colapinto
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.1064gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7511

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7511kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7488george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7157charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.7066lando-norris
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.7006oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.6997lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6618max-verstappen
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.4673carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.4318pierre-gasly
  10. 10Oliver Bearman0.4270oliver-bearman
  11. 11Esteban Ocon0.3977esteban-ocon
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.3867liam-lawson
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.3864fernando-alonso
  14. 14Isack Hadjar0.3748isack-hadjar
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.3734nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.3502sergio-perez
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.2982valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.2891alexander-albon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.2819gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.2763franco-colapinto
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.2749lance-stroll
After free practiceHistory
Sprint qualifying, quickestLando Norris 0.0851

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.0851lando-norris
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.0788kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.0732oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.0724george-russell
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0713max-verstappen
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0664lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0598charles-leclerc
  8. 8Nico Hulkenberg0.0462nico-hulkenberg
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0452fernando-alonso
  10. 10Gabriel Bortoleto0.0445gabriel-bortoleto
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0443isack-hadjar
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.0430esteban-ocon
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.0414pierre-gasly
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0412carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.0392lance-stroll
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0389oliver-bearman
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.0369valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0361sergio-perez
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0361franco-colapinto
Sprint qualifying, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.4504

Chance of a top-three shootout finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.4504oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.4372lando-norris
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.3719kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2653max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.2327george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.1704lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.1598charles-leclerc
  8. 8Sergio Perez0.1059sergio-perez
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0873fernando-alonso
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.0864nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Gabriel Bortoleto0.0811gabriel-bortoleto
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0810isack-hadjar
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0768esteban-ocon
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0749carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Pierre Gasly0.0720pierre-gasly
  16. 16Lance Stroll0.0656lance-stroll
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0647oliver-bearman
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0591valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0573franco-colapinto
Sprint race, winMax Verstappen 0.0989

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.0989max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0869lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.0733oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.0704george-russell
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.0626lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.0588kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0510charles-leclerc
  8. 8Nico Hulkenberg0.0406nico-hulkenberg
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0396fernando-alonso
  10. 10Gabriel Bortoleto0.0388gabriel-bortoleto
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0385isack-hadjar
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.0372esteban-ocon
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.0361alexander-albon
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0354carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Pierre Gasly0.0353pierre-gasly
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0346valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Lance Stroll0.0335lance-stroll
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0333liam-lawson
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0328oliver-bearman
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0321sergio-perez
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0303franco-colapinto
Sprint race, top 3Oscar Piastri 0.3356

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Oscar Piastri0.3356oscar-piastri
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3331lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.3048george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2763max-verstappen
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2492lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2278charles-leclerc
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.2224kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.0986carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Nico Hulkenberg0.0908nico-hulkenberg
  10. 10Sergio Perez0.0900sergio-perez
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0866fernando-alonso
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0832gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0821isack-hadjar
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0770esteban-ocon
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.0726alexander-albon
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.0718pierre-gasly
  17. 17Lance Stroll0.0626lance-stroll
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0621valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Liam Lawson0.0619liam-lawson
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0602oliver-bearman
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0513franco-colapinto
Sprint race, top 6George Russell 0.7573

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.7573george-russell
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.7273charles-leclerc
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.6651kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.6408max-verstappen
  5. 5Lando Norris0.6243lando-norris
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.5606lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.5534oscar-piastri
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.2138carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.1499fernando-alonso
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.1313nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Sergio Perez0.1196sergio-perez
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.1196esteban-ocon
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.1079gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Isack Hadjar0.1060isack-hadjar
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1052alexander-albon
  16. 16Lance Stroll0.0864lance-stroll
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0850pierre-gasly
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0673liam-lawson
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0649valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0644oliver-bearman
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0497franco-colapinto
Sprint race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.9351

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.9351kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.9018george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.8451charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.8224lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7915lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.7875max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.7410oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.4864isack-hadjar
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.3879fernando-alonso
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.3852carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.3708nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.3472pierre-gasly
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.3036esteban-ocon
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.3023sergio-perez
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.2906gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.2757alexander-albon
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.2571liam-lawson
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.2524lance-stroll
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.2113oliver-bearman
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.1625valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.1426franco-colapinto
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1031

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1031kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0922lando-norris
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0698max-verstappen
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0653lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0611george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0581oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0525charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0395fernando-alonso
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0377valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.0367nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0362carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0361isack-hadjar
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0359gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0355esteban-ocon
  15. 15Pierre Gasly0.0353pierre-gasly
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0350alexander-albon
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0344oliver-bearman
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0344liam-lawson
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0344lance-stroll
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0335sergio-perez
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0332franco-colapinto
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3592

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3592kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3332max-verstappen
  3. 3Lando Norris0.3268lando-norris
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.2652oscar-piastri
  5. 5George Russell0.2498george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2422lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2220charles-leclerc
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.0994carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0924valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0913isack-hadjar
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0858fernando-alonso
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0713nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0669gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0656esteban-ocon
  15. 15Pierre Gasly0.0645pierre-gasly
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0631alexander-albon
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.0626liam-lawson
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0623sergio-perez
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0606lance-stroll
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0602oliver-bearman
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0556franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1126

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1126max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.0982kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0692lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0687lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0594george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0506oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0460charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0412fernando-alonso
  9. 9Nico Hulkenberg0.0362nico-hulkenberg
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0358isack-hadjar
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0358carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0356gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0356esteban-ocon
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.0356valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Pierre Gasly0.0355pierre-gasly
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0348alexander-albon
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0342oliver-bearman
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0341liam-lawson
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0340sergio-perez
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0338lance-stroll
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0330franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3825

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3825kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3155max-verstappen
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.2880oscar-piastri
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2697lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.2411george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2338lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2132charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.1037fernando-alonso
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.0988carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0886valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0769isack-hadjar
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0752nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0726esteban-ocon
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0723gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.0720sergio-perez
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.0718pierre-gasly
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0697alexander-albon
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0652lance-stroll
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0648oliver-bearman
  20. 20Liam Lawson0.0648liam-lawson
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0599franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6516

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6516kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.6431george-russell
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.5739oscar-piastri
  4. 4Lando Norris0.5677lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5572max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.5438charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.5400lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.2192fernando-alonso
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.2116carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Oliver Bearman0.1529oliver-bearman
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.1515isack-hadjar
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.1469pierre-gasly
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.1417valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.1380nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.1245esteban-ocon
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.1230alexander-albon
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.1189sergio-perez
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.1152gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.1003lance-stroll
  20. 20Liam Lawson0.0981liam-lawson
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0810franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7908

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7908kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7848george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7488charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.7422lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7290lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.7175oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.7016max-verstappen
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.4430carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.4156fernando-alonso
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.4135nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.4008pierre-gasly
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.3981esteban-ocon
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.3860isack-hadjar
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.3694oliver-bearman
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.3440liam-lawson
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.3091gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.2907alexander-albon
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.2873sergio-perez
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.2552lance-stroll
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.2520valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.2206franco-colapinto
After sprint qualifyingHistory
Sprint race, winMax Verstappen 0.1014

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1014max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.1005lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.0857george-russell
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.0810oscar-piastri
  5. 5Alexander Albon0.0710alexander-albon
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.0683kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Liam Lawson0.0660liam-lawson
  8. 8Lewis Hamilton0.0655lewis-hamilton
  9. 9Charles Leclerc0.0509charles-leclerc
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0354isack-hadjar
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0331nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0304gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0300carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0269esteban-ocon
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.0264fernando-alonso
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0228franco-colapinto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0228oliver-bearman
  18. 18Pierre Gasly0.0209pierre-gasly
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0206sergio-perez
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0206lance-stroll
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0198valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, top 3George Russell 0.4141

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.4141george-russell
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3964lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.3765oscar-piastri
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.3091kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2739lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2593max-verstappen
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2351charles-leclerc
  8. 8Alexander Albon0.1143alexander-albon
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.1006liam-lawson
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0816isack-hadjar
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0786carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0657nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0549gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0416esteban-ocon
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.0374fernando-alonso
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0351sergio-perez
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.0324franco-colapinto
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0300oliver-bearman
  19. 19Pierre Gasly0.0229pierre-gasly
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0225lance-stroll
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0180valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, top 6George Russell 0.8519

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.8519george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7847kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.7301lando-norris
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.7154charles-leclerc
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.6507oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.6237lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6110max-verstappen
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1791carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Alexander Albon0.1456alexander-albon
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.1328isack-hadjar
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.1049nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.1026liam-lawson
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0771gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0630esteban-ocon
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.0576fernando-alonso
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0400sergio-perez
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.0346franco-colapinto
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0319oliver-bearman
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0261lance-stroll
  20. 20Pierre Gasly0.0222pierre-gasly
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0150valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, top 10George Russell 1.0000

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell1.0000george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli1.0000kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.9365lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.9093lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.8938oscar-piastri
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.8937charles-leclerc
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.8272max-verstappen
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.5959isack-hadjar
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.4282carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.3916nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Alexander Albon0.3382alexander-albon
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.3161liam-lawson
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.2947gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.2308esteban-ocon
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.2154fernando-alonso
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.1490franco-colapinto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.1483oliver-bearman
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.1382sergio-perez
  19. 19Pierre Gasly0.1216pierre-gasly
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.1077lance-stroll
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0549valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1053

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1053kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0938lando-norris
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0701max-verstappen
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0659lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0624george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0587oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0528charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0384fernando-alonso
  9. 9Alexander Albon0.0366alexander-albon
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0363valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0362nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.0359liam-lawson
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0359isack-hadjar
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0358carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0353gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0347esteban-ocon
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0340pierre-gasly
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0336oliver-bearman
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0332lance-stroll
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.0326franco-colapinto
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0325sergio-perez
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3742

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3742kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3412max-verstappen
  3. 3Lando Norris0.3368lando-norris
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.2688oscar-piastri
  5. 5George Russell0.2545george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2437lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2218charles-leclerc
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.0949carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0876isack-hadjar
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0851valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0801fernando-alonso
  12. 12Alexander Albon0.0701alexander-albon
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0694liam-lawson
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0674nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0629gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0613esteban-ocon
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0592pierre-gasly
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0575sergio-perez
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0560oliver-bearman
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0557lance-stroll
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0520franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1137

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1137max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.0994kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0695lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0689lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0596george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0506oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0459charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0405fernando-alonso
  9. 9Alexander Albon0.0370alexander-albon
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0363liam-lawson
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0357nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0355isack-hadjar
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0353carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0352gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0350esteban-ocon
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0348valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0347pierre-gasly
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0336oliver-bearman
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0333sergio-perez
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0331lance-stroll
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0325franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4023

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4023kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3219max-verstappen
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.2960oscar-piastri
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2776lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.2497george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2371lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2144charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0957fernando-alonso
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.0946carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0792valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Alexander Albon0.0762alexander-albon
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0743isack-hadjar
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0712nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.0708liam-lawson
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0679gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0673esteban-ocon
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0654sergio-perez
  18. 18Pierre Gasly0.0643pierre-gasly
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0596oliver-bearman
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0587lance-stroll
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0557franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6937

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6937kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.6859george-russell
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.6005oscar-piastri
  4. 4Lando Norris0.5960lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5736max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.5613charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.5597lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.1972carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.1920fernando-alonso
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.1425isack-hadjar
  11. 11Alexander Albon0.1335alexander-albon
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.1326oliver-bearman
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.1250nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.1213pierre-gasly
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.1154valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.1083esteban-ocon
  17. 17Liam Lawson0.1066liam-lawson
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.1025gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0995sergio-perez
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0825lance-stroll
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0705franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8308

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8308kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.8270george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7768charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.7728lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7651lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.7500oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.7236max-verstappen
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.4389carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Nico Hulkenberg0.4044nico-hulkenberg
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.3886isack-hadjar
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.3859fernando-alonso
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.3764esteban-ocon
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.3592liam-lawson
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.3588pierre-gasly
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.3435oliver-bearman
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.3038alexander-albon
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.2951gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.2565sergio-perez
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.2233lance-stroll
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.2144valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.2053franco-colapinto
After the sprint raceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1071

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1071kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0956lando-norris
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0706max-verstappen
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0665lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0638george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0596oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0534charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0396fernando-alonso
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.0357carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.0357nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.0354valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Alexander Albon0.0351alexander-albon
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0350gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.0350liam-lawson
  15. 15Isack Hadjar0.0350isack-hadjar
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0343esteban-ocon
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0330pierre-gasly
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0328oliver-bearman
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0325franco-colapinto
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0325lance-stroll
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0319sergio-perez
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3837

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3837kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3463lando-norris
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.3443max-verstappen
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.2748oscar-piastri
  5. 5George Russell0.2641george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2471lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2254charles-leclerc
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.0934carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0850fernando-alonso
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0818isack-hadjar
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.0794valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0644nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0643liam-lawson
  14. 14Alexander Albon0.0622alexander-albon
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0610gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0588esteban-ocon
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0545sergio-perez
  18. 18Pierre Gasly0.0542pierre-gasly
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0522lance-stroll
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0522oliver-bearman
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0510franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.1147

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.1147max-verstappen
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.1013kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0709lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0696lewis-hamilton
  5. 5George Russell0.0611george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0514oscar-piastri
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0464charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0422fernando-alonso
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.0352carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Alexander Albon0.0352alexander-albon
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0352nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.0351liam-lawson
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0348gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Isack Hadjar0.0347isack-hadjar
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0346esteban-ocon
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0338valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Pierre Gasly0.0336pierre-gasly
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0328oliver-bearman
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0327sergio-perez
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.0323franco-colapinto
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0323lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4151

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4151kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3256max-verstappen
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.3050oscar-piastri
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2897lando-norris
  5. 5George Russell0.2630george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2415lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2196charles-leclerc
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.1010fernando-alonso
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.0927carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0722valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0666nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.0661isack-hadjar
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.0660alexander-albon
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.0658liam-lawson
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0651gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0639esteban-ocon
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0613sergio-perez
  18. 18Pierre Gasly0.0570pierre-gasly
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0548franco-colapinto
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0540lance-stroll
  21. 21Oliver Bearman0.0539oliver-bearman
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.7188

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7188kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7150george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.6225lando-norris
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.6215oscar-piastri
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5848max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.5782charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.5740lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.2069fernando-alonso
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.1917carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.1212isack-hadjar
  11. 11Oliver Bearman0.1156oliver-bearman
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.1136nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Alexander Albon0.1092alexander-albon
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.1024pierre-gasly
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.1008valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.1003esteban-ocon
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0962gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Liam Lawson0.0957liam-lawson
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0904sergio-perez
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0728lance-stroll
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0685franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8612

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8612kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.8605george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.8019charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.7963lando-norris
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.7963lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.7769oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.7425max-verstappen
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.4386carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.4131fernando-alonso
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.3901nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Esteban Ocon0.3659esteban-ocon
  12. 12Isack Hadjar0.3600isack-hadjar
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.3393liam-lawson
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.3295pierre-gasly
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.3206oliver-bearman
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.2876gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.2677alexander-albon
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.2438sergio-perez
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.2077lance-stroll
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.2035franco-colapinto
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.1970valtteri-bottas
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winGeorge Russell 0.4175

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.4175george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.2270kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.1150lando-norris
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.0566oscar-piastri
  5. 5Lance Stroll0.0432lance-stroll
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0409lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.0342max-verstappen
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0184isack-hadjar
  9. 9Charles Leclerc0.0142charles-leclerc
  10. 10Franco Colapinto0.0101franco-colapinto
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0059pierre-gasly
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0050nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0026esteban-ocon
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0025gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Liam Lawson0.0025liam-lawson
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0017oliver-bearman
  17. 17Fernando Alonso0.0009fernando-alonso
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0009alexander-albon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0008carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0000sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0000valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4784

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4784kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Oscar Piastri0.3386oscar-piastri
  3. 3Lando Norris0.3354lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.3322max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.3309george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2584lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2029charles-leclerc
  8. 8Lance Stroll0.1149lance-stroll
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0728isack-hadjar
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0602carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0563nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.0552liam-lawson
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0520franco-colapinto
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.0518fernando-alonso
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0487gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.0408pierre-gasly
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0371alexander-albon
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0369esteban-ocon
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0343oliver-bearman
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0325valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0298sergio-perez
Grand Prix race, top 6George Russell 0.7901

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.7901george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7793kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.6843lando-norris
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.6659oscar-piastri
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.6014lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.5929max-verstappen
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.5471charles-leclerc
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.1641isack-hadjar
  9. 9Lance Stroll0.1424lance-stroll
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.1351carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.1160nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.1099fernando-alonso
  13. 13Liam Lawson0.0994liam-lawson
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0878gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0865franco-colapinto
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.0847pierre-gasly
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0814oliver-bearman
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0685alexander-albon
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0664esteban-ocon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0484sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0484valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix race, top 10George Russell 0.9060

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.9060george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.8977kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.8413lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.8161lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.8156oscar-piastri
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.7844charles-leclerc
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.7599max-verstappen
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.4515isack-hadjar
  9. 9Nico Hulkenberg0.4049nico-hulkenberg
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.3804carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.3551liam-lawson
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.3100pierre-gasly
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.3022fernando-alonso
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.2965gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.2955esteban-ocon
  16. 16Lance Stroll0.2901lance-stroll
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.2799oliver-bearman
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.2716franco-colapinto
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.2183alexander-albon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.1807sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.1422valtteri-bottas