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Round 10 · 2026-07-19

Belgium

Spa-Francorchamps

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 10. 9 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1460

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1460kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0931george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0660lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0531max-verstappen
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.0505charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lando Norris0.0462lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0438oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0362isack-hadjar
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0360valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0348fernando-alonso
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0345liam-lawson
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0340pierre-gasly
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.0336arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0333carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0333franco-colapinto
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0328oliver-bearman
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0323sergio-perez
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0322esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0321alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0321gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0320nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0320lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4242

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4242kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3978lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3300george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.2567charles-leclerc
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.2336max-verstappen
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.2097oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.1577lando-norris
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0932valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0774isack-hadjar
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0724carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0722fernando-alonso
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.0692liam-lawson
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.0652pierre-gasly
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0642sergio-perez
  15. 15Arvid Lindblad0.0635arvid-lindblad
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0622franco-colapinto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0604oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0585esteban-ocon
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0585nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0578lance-stroll
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0578alexander-albon
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0576gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1385

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1385kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0845lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0640max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.0601george-russell
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.0556charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0483oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.0449lando-norris
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0368fernando-alonso
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0365isack-hadjar
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0347liam-lawson
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0345pierre-gasly
  12. 12Valtteri Bottas0.0344valtteri-bottas
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.0338arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0334franco-colapinto
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0333carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0331sergio-perez
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0329oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0326esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0322alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0322gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0319nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0318lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3787

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3787kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3748lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.2796george-russell
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.2378oscar-piastri
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.2332max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2103charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lando Norris0.1937lando-norris
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.1067isack-hadjar
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0898valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0877fernando-alonso
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0749carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.0744sergio-perez
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.0724pierre-gasly
  14. 14Liam Lawson0.0718liam-lawson
  15. 15Arvid Lindblad0.0685arvid-lindblad
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0670franco-colapinto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0649oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0646esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0636alexander-albon
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0622lance-stroll
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.0620gabriel-bortoleto
  22. 22Nico Hulkenberg0.0614nico-hulkenberg
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6305

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6305lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.5987kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.5703george-russell
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.5201oscar-piastri
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.4984charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lando Norris0.4790lando-norris
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.4677max-verstappen
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.3601isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.1825liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1591pierre-gasly
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.1552valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.1548fernando-alonso
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.1506arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.1469carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.1362oliver-bearman
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.1343sergio-perez
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.1294franco-colapinto
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.1136alexander-albon
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.1105esteban-ocon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.1074nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0993lance-stroll
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0954gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.7467

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7467lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7255kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.7066george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.6851charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.6583lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6492oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6068max-verstappen
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.5470isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5115liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.4835arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.4782pierre-gasly
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.3785carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.3727franco-colapinto
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.3176esteban-ocon
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.3065fernando-alonso
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.3053oliver-bearman
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.2871alexander-albon
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.2733sergio-perez
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.2582valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.2516gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.2377nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.2131lance-stroll
After free practiceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1451

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1451kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0921george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0684lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0565max-verstappen
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.0526charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lando Norris0.0470lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0454oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0382isack-hadjar
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0350fernando-alonso
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0346liam-lawson
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0344arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Valtteri Bottas0.0343valtteri-bottas
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0327gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.0326oliver-bearman
  15. 15Pierre Gasly0.0325pierre-gasly
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0324franco-colapinto
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0321nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0316alexander-albon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0312carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0312esteban-ocon
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0306sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0298lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4213

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4213kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.4047lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3237george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.2682charles-leclerc
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.2535max-verstappen
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.2179oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.1612lando-norris
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0870isack-hadjar
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0823valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0746fernando-alonso
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0693liam-lawson
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0665arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0617carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0599gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0590oliver-bearman
  16. 16Pierre Gasly0.0585pierre-gasly
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0585nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.0582franco-colapinto
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0560sergio-perez
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0556alexander-albon
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0541esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0486lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1372

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1372kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0869lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0675max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.0597george-russell
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.0578charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0498oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.0457lando-norris
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0385isack-hadjar
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0369fernando-alonso
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0347liam-lawson
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0345arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0329pierre-gasly
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0328gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.0327valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0326oliver-bearman
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0325franco-colapinto
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0320nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0317alexander-albon
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0315esteban-ocon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0313sergio-perez
  21. 21Carlos Sainz Jr0.0312carlos-sainz-jr
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0296lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Lewis Hamilton 0.3815

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.3815lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.3741kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.2732george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2530max-verstappen
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.2452oscar-piastri
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2228charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lando Norris0.1965lando-norris
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.1190isack-hadjar
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0889fernando-alonso
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0794valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0725liam-lawson
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0722arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.0652pierre-gasly
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0649gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.0649sergio-perez
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0640carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0638oliver-bearman
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.0630franco-colapinto
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0619nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0614alexander-albon
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0599esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0524lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6374

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6374lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.5953kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.5606george-russell
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.5317oscar-piastri
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.5194charles-leclerc
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.5068max-verstappen
  7. 7Lando Norris0.4832lando-norris
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.3957isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.1862liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.1651arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.1570fernando-alonso
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.1379pierre-gasly
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.1349oliver-bearman
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.1318valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.1206franco-colapinto
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.1174carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.1118nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.1112sergio-perez
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.1105alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.1065gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.1010esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0780lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.7600

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7600lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7267kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7069charles-leclerc
  4. 4George Russell0.7013george-russell
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.6697oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lando Norris0.6666lando-norris
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6583max-verstappen
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.5932isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5138liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.5041arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.4348pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.3558franco-colapinto
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.3216carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.3101oliver-bearman
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.3036fernando-alonso
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.2988esteban-ocon
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.2869alexander-albon
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.2838gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.2552nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.2387sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.2327valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1772lance-stroll
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.4336

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4336kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.2374max-verstappen
  3. 3George Russell0.1189george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.0586charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.0423lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0354oscar-piastri
  7. 7Arvid Lindblad0.0190arvid-lindblad
  8. 8Gabriel Bortoleto0.0147gabriel-bortoleto
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0104pierre-gasly
  10. 10Oliver Bearman0.0061oliver-bearman
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0052franco-colapinto
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.0043liam-lawson
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.0027valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Lando Norris0.0026lando-norris
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.0026nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0018esteban-ocon
  17. 17Fernando Alonso0.0016fernando-alonso
  18. 18Carlos Sainz Jr0.0010carlos-sainz-jr
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0009sergio-perez
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0009alexander-albon
  21. 21Isack Hadjar0.0000isack-hadjar
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0000lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4588

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4588kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.4262lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3292george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.3180max-verstappen
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.2659oscar-piastri
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2626charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lando Norris0.1522lando-norris
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.0831arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0742liam-lawson
  10. 10Gabriel Bortoleto0.0714gabriel-bortoleto
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0643pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0583franco-colapinto
  13. 13Isack Hadjar0.0554isack-hadjar
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0535nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.0501valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0485oliver-bearman
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0441alexander-albon
  18. 18Fernando Alonso0.0412fernando-alonso
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0405esteban-ocon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0388sergio-perez
  21. 21Carlos Sainz Jr0.0359carlos-sainz-jr
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0279lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6902

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6902lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6818kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.6332george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.5965max-verstappen
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.5822charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.5678oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.4081lando-norris
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.2179arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.2117liam-lawson
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.2070isack-hadjar
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.1582pierre-gasly
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.1473gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.1326franco-colapinto
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.1167oliver-bearman
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.1155nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0922valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0920alexander-albon
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0796esteban-ocon
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0761fernando-alonso
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0742sergio-perez
  21. 21Carlos Sainz Jr0.0720carlos-sainz-jr
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0475lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.7855

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7855lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7836kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.7526george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.7465charles-leclerc
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.7242max-verstappen
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6984oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.6197lando-norris
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5549arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5375liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4620pierre-gasly
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.4332isack-hadjar
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.3846franco-colapinto
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.3643gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.3044oliver-bearman
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.2854nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.2739alexander-albon
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.2707esteban-ocon
  18. 18Carlos Sainz Jr0.2512carlos-sainz-jr
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.2109valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Fernando Alonso0.2056fernando-alonso
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.2047sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1462lance-stroll