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Round 12 · 2026-08-23 Sprint

Netherlands

Zandvoort

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 12. 11 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Sprint qualifying, quickestGeorge Russell 0.0708

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.0708george-russell
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0677lando-norris
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0643kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0630lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.0630oscar-piastri
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.0615max-verstappen
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0536charles-leclerc
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0424liam-lawson
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0387pierre-gasly
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0386arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0379franco-colapinto
  12. 12Yuki Tsunoda0.0372yuki-tsunoda
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0371oliver-bearman
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0365gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0363esteban-ocon
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0363carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0362alexander-albon
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0361nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0358fernando-alonso
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0357lance-stroll
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0357sergio-perez
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.0357valtteri-bottas
Sprint qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3915

Chance of a top-three shootout finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3915kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.3874lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.3287oscar-piastri
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2498max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.2438george-russell
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.1785lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.1548charles-leclerc
  8. 8Sergio Perez0.0980sergio-perez
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0871liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0734arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0734pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0708franco-colapinto
  13. 13Yuki Tsunoda0.0689yuki-tsunoda
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0689carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0682oliver-bearman
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0671fernando-alonso
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0662gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0657esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0653alexander-albon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0649nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0637lance-stroll
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.0637valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, winMax Verstappen 0.0871

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.0871max-verstappen
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0803lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.0767george-russell
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.0713kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.0579oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0525lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0488charles-leclerc
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0398liam-lawson
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0365valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0362arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0361pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0355franco-colapinto
  13. 13Yuki Tsunoda0.0349yuki-tsunoda
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0349sergio-perez
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0347oliver-bearman
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0341gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0340esteban-ocon
  18. 18Carlos Sainz Jr0.0339carlos-sainz-jr
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0339alexander-albon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0338nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Fernando Alonso0.0335fernando-alonso
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0334lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 3Lando Norris 0.3575

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.3575lando-norris
  2. 2George Russell0.3116george-russell
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.2890kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.2562oscar-piastri
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.2250max-verstappen
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2230lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.2134charles-leclerc
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.0966carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0914liam-lawson
  10. 10Sergio Perez0.0840sergio-perez
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0790pierre-gasly
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0766arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.0746valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0739franco-colapinto
  15. 15Yuki Tsunoda0.0719yuki-tsunoda
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0710oliver-bearman
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0689gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0684esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0679alexander-albon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0675nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Fernando Alonso0.0664fernando-alonso
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0663lance-stroll
Sprint race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6767

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6767kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.6730george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.6693charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.6237lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5923max-verstappen
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.5567lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.4896oscar-piastri
  8. 8Carlos Sainz Jr0.2209carlos-sainz-jr
  9. 9Yuki Tsunoda0.1754yuki-tsunoda
  10. 10Sergio Perez0.1371sergio-perez
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.1336liam-lawson
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.1066fernando-alonso
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.1065esteban-ocon
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.1042pierre-gasly
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1017alexander-albon
  16. 16Arvid Lindblad0.1001arvid-lindblad
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.0943franco-colapinto
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0933valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0883oliver-bearman
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0865lance-stroll
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0862nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0839gabriel-bortoleto
Sprint race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8462

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8462kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.8089george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7843charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.7757lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.7560max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.7445lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.6970oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.4590liam-lawson
  9. 9Carlos Sainz Jr0.4267carlos-sainz-jr
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.4174arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.3700pierre-gasly
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.3611sergio-perez
  13. 13Yuki Tsunoda0.3372yuki-tsunoda
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.2763franco-colapinto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.2638esteban-ocon
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.2630fernando-alonso
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.2626oliver-bearman
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.2550alexander-albon
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.2338nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.2320lance-stroll
  21. 21Gabriel Bortoleto0.2173gabriel-bortoleto
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.2123valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1328

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1328kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0935george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0678lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0606lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0554max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0526charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0443oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0359liam-lawson
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0355valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0343fernando-alonso
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0335pierre-gasly
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0334arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0328carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0328franco-colapinto
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0323oliver-bearman
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0322yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0319gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0318sergio-perez
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0317nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0317esteban-ocon
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0316alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0315lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4045

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4045kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3997lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.3074charles-leclerc
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2855max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.2548george-russell
  6. 6Lando Norris0.2433lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1438oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0907valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0760liam-lawson
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0705carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0704fernando-alonso
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0637pierre-gasly
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.0629arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0626sergio-perez
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0609franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0597yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0589oliver-bearman
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0577nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0572gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0571esteban-ocon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0564lance-stroll
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0564alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1280

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1280kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0864lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0664max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.0606george-russell
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.0579charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lando Norris0.0576lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0486oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0361liam-lawson
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0361fernando-alonso
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0339pierre-gasly
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.0337valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0334arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0329franco-colapinto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0327carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.0325sergio-perez
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0324oliver-bearman
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0323yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0320esteban-ocon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0319gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0316alexander-albon
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0315nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0313lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3966

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3966kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3528lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.3145max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.2503george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2394lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2255charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1790oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0879valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0859fernando-alonso
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0801liam-lawson
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0734carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.0729sergio-perez
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.0710pierre-gasly
  14. 14Arvid Lindblad0.0681arvid-lindblad
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0659franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0640yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0636oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0633esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0623alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0618gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0609lance-stroll
  22. 22Nico Hulkenberg0.0609nico-hulkenberg
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6580

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6580lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6379kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.5749max-verstappen
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.5446charles-leclerc
  5. 5George Russell0.5434george-russell
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.5186oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.4900lando-norris
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.2238liam-lawson
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.1580valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1579fernando-alonso
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.1527arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.1497carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Sergio Perez0.1369sergio-perez
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.1365pierre-gasly
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.1327franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.1278yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.1158alexander-albon
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.1153oliver-bearman
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.1127esteban-ocon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.1116nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.1014lance-stroll
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0998gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.7711

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7711lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7607kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7231charles-leclerc
  4. 4George Russell0.7118george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.6979lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.6788max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.6529oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.5456liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5439arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4156pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.3821franco-colapinto
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.3477carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Yuki Tsunoda0.3251yuki-tsunoda
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.3086fernando-alonso
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.2887alexander-albon
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.2882esteban-ocon
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.2748sergio-perez
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.2732oliver-bearman
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.2728nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.2636gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.2596valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.2144lance-stroll
After free practiceHistory
Sprint qualifying, quickestGeorge Russell 0.0781

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.0781george-russell
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0768lando-norris
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.0741kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0691lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.0666oscar-piastri
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.0589max-verstappen
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0585charles-leclerc
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0413pierre-gasly
  9. 9Nico Hulkenberg0.0397nico-hulkenberg
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0395arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0393liam-lawson
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0384gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0363franco-colapinto
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.0353fernando-alonso
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0342oliver-bearman
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0327esteban-ocon
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0327yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0309lance-stroll
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0306alexander-albon
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0295valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0288sergio-perez
  22. 22Carlos Sainz Jr0.0286carlos-sainz-jr
Sprint qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4201

Chance of a top-three shootout finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4201kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.4111lando-norris
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.3343oscar-piastri
  4. 4George Russell0.2758george-russell
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.2305max-verstappen
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2063lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.1772charles-leclerc
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0825pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0775liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0767arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0767nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0725gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Sergio Perez0.0667sergio-perez
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0664franco-colapinto
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.0656fernando-alonso
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0594oliver-bearman
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0556yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0552esteban-ocon
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0496lance-stroll
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0488alexander-albon
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0459valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Carlos Sainz Jr0.0457carlos-sainz-jr
Sprint race, winLando Norris 0.0912

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.0912lando-norris
  2. 2George Russell0.0844george-russell
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0830max-verstappen
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.0814kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.0622oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0582lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0533charles-leclerc
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0388pierre-gasly
  9. 9Nico Hulkenberg0.0376nico-hulkenberg
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0370arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0365liam-lawson
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0362gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0339franco-colapinto
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.0331fernando-alonso
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0318oliver-bearman
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0304esteban-ocon
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0304yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0297valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0286lance-stroll
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0282alexander-albon
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0277sergio-perez
  22. 22Carlos Sainz Jr0.0262carlos-sainz-jr
Sprint race, top 3Lando Norris 0.3902

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.3902lando-norris
  2. 2George Russell0.3409george-russell
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.3362kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.2691oscar-piastri
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2529lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2366charles-leclerc
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.2025max-verstappen
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0913pierre-gasly
  9. 9Nico Hulkenberg0.0839nico-hulkenberg
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0811arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0783liam-lawson
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0777gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0683franco-colapinto
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.0654fernando-alonso
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0600oliver-bearman
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0570carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0553esteban-ocon
  18. 18Yuki Tsunoda0.0550yuki-tsunoda
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0524sergio-perez
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0493valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0488lance-stroll
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0474alexander-albon
Sprint race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.7410

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7410kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7243george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7053charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lando Norris0.7010lando-norris
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.6285lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.5620max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.5465oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.1381pierre-gasly
  9. 9Nico Hulkenberg0.1267nico-hulkenberg
  10. 10Yuki Tsunoda0.1168yuki-tsunoda
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.1152arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Liam Lawson0.1109liam-lawson
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.1066gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.1059fernando-alonso
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.1035carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0873franco-colapinto
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0779esteban-ocon
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0704oliver-bearman
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0682sergio-perez
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0589alexander-albon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0548lance-stroll
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.0503valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.9219

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.9219kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.8861george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.8550lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.8546lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.8508charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.7728oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.7479max-verstappen
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.4577arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.4563pierre-gasly
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.4099liam-lawson
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.3402nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.2852gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.2778fernando-alonso
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.2721franco-colapinto
  15. 15Yuki Tsunoda0.2547yuki-tsunoda
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.2380carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.2284oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.2147esteban-ocon
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.2104sergio-perez
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.1686alexander-albon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.1655lance-stroll
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.1313valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1352

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1352kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0955george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0691lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0635lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0544max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0538charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0455oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0350liam-lawson
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0345pierre-gasly
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0344fernando-alonso
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0339arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Valtteri Bottas0.0333valtteri-bottas
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0332nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0328gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0326franco-colapinto
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0316oliver-bearman
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0310yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0308esteban-ocon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0303carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0302lance-stroll
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0300alexander-albon
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0297sergio-perez
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4144

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4144kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.4049lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.3131charles-leclerc
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2767max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.2658george-russell
  6. 6Lando Norris0.2603lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1504oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0779valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0716liam-lawson
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0706fernando-alonso
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0685pierre-gasly
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0652arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0641nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0611gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0598franco-colapinto
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0584carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0559oliver-bearman
  18. 18Yuki Tsunoda0.0544yuki-tsunoda
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0533esteban-ocon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0531sergio-perez
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0508lance-stroll
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0497alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1303

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1303kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0877lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0651max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.0625george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.0605lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0592charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0498oscar-piastri
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0362fernando-alonso
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0352liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0350pierre-gasly
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0340arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0331nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0328gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0327franco-colapinto
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.0317valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0317oliver-bearman
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0311esteban-ocon
  18. 18Yuki Tsunoda0.0310yuki-tsunoda
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0304sergio-perez
  20. 20Carlos Sainz Jr0.0303carlos-sainz-jr
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0300alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0300lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4057

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4057kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3577lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.3035max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.2615george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2565lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2325charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1859oscar-piastri
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0859fernando-alonso
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0769pierre-gasly
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0759liam-lawson
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.0756valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0711arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0683nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0665gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0651franco-colapinto
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0617sergio-perez
  17. 17Carlos Sainz Jr0.0609carlos-sainz-jr
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0607oliver-bearman
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0593esteban-ocon
  20. 20Yuki Tsunoda0.0586yuki-tsunoda
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0551alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0551lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6665

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6665lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6535kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.5636george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.5619max-verstappen
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.5571charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.5314oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.5258lando-norris
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.2082liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.1646arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1617fernando-alonso
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.1571pierre-gasly
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.1365nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.1329franco-colapinto
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.1279valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.1160gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.1138carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.1136yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.1097oliver-bearman
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.1078sergio-perez
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.1043esteban-ocon
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0974alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0888lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.7819

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7819lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7788kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7360charles-leclerc
  4. 4George Russell0.7324george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7288lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6722oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6688max-verstappen
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5555arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5214liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4552pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.3838franco-colapinto
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3301nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.3245fernando-alonso
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.3055gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Yuki Tsunoda0.2994yuki-tsunoda
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.2815carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.2746esteban-ocon
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.2680oliver-bearman
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.2541alexander-albon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.2282sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.2223valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1971lance-stroll
After sprint qualifyingHistory
Sprint race, winLando Norris 0.1186

Share of one sprint win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.1186lando-norris
  2. 2George Russell0.1126george-russell
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0957max-verstappen
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.0945kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.0740oscar-piastri
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0647charles-leclerc
  7. 7Lewis Hamilton0.0613lewis-hamilton
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0387pierre-gasly
  9. 9Gabriel Bortoleto0.0346gabriel-bortoleto
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0341arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0325liam-lawson
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0295nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0278franco-colapinto
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.0259yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0230esteban-ocon
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0222oliver-bearman
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0205alexander-albon
  18. 18Fernando Alonso0.0189fernando-alonso
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0185valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0184lance-stroll
  21. 21Carlos Sainz Jr0.0176carlos-sainz-jr
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0165sergio-perez
Sprint race, top 3Lando Norris 0.4797

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.4797lando-norris
  2. 2George Russell0.4510george-russell
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.3678kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.3236oscar-piastri
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.3090charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.2500lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.2219max-verstappen
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0931pierre-gasly
  9. 9Gabriel Bortoleto0.0736gabriel-bortoleto
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0693arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0611liam-lawson
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0478nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0442franco-colapinto
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.0406yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0299esteban-ocon
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0260oliver-bearman
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0235alexander-albon
  18. 18Carlos Sainz Jr0.0226carlos-sainz-jr
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0176lance-stroll
  20. 20Fernando Alonso0.0166fernando-alonso
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0160valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0152sergio-perez
Sprint race, top 6George Russell 0.8173

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.8173george-russell
  2. 2Lando Norris0.7926lando-norris
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.7851kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.7834charles-leclerc
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.6525oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.6440lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6094max-verstappen
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.1706pierre-gasly
  9. 9Gabriel Bortoleto0.1215gabriel-bortoleto
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.1142arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0980liam-lawson
  12. 12Yuki Tsunoda0.0878yuki-tsunoda
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0713nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0597franco-colapinto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0404esteban-ocon
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0335carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0277oliver-bearman
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0275alexander-albon
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0189fernando-alonso
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0165lance-stroll
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0148sergio-perez
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.0132valtteri-bottas
Sprint race, top 10George Russell 0.9794

Chance of finishing the sprint in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.9794george-russell
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.9649kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Lando Norris0.9609lando-norris
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.9499charles-leclerc
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.9033oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.8969lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.8431max-verstappen
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.5980pierre-gasly
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5075arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.4332liam-lawson
  11. 11Gabriel Bortoleto0.4238gabriel-bortoleto
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.2709nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Yuki Tsunoda0.2689yuki-tsunoda
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.2556franco-colapinto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.1587esteban-ocon
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.1251oliver-bearman
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.1121alexander-albon
  18. 18Carlos Sainz Jr0.1032carlos-sainz-jr
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.0694lance-stroll
  20. 20Fernando Alonso0.0679fernando-alonso
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0584sergio-perez
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.0490valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1385

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1385kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0982george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0698lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0649lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0550max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0548charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0461oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0347liam-lawson
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0345pierre-gasly
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0337arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0329fernando-alonso
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0327gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0326nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0321franco-colapinto
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.0320valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0307oliver-bearman
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0306yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0301esteban-ocon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0293carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0292alexander-albon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0291lance-stroll
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0285sergio-perez
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4382

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4382kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.4258lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.3235charles-leclerc
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2811max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.2731george-russell
  6. 6Lando Norris0.2661lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1489oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0707valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0674liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0652pierre-gasly
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0634fernando-alonso
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0615arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0594nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0577gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0556franco-colapinto
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0531carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0510oliver-bearman
  18. 18Yuki Tsunoda0.0507yuki-tsunoda
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0490esteban-ocon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0475sergio-perez
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0458lance-stroll
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0454alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1334

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1334kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0887lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0655max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.0632george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.0611lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0597charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0501oscar-piastri
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0354fernando-alonso
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0349liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0348pierre-gasly
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0337arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0326nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0326gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0323franco-colapinto
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0312oliver-bearman
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0311valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0307yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0307esteban-ocon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0297carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0297sergio-perez
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0295alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0294lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4286

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4286kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3721lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.3126max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.2726george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2659lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2392charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1887oscar-piastri
  8. 8Fernando Alonso0.0763fernando-alonso
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0744pierre-gasly
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0722liam-lawson
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0679arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Valtteri Bottas0.0677valtteri-bottas
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0638gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0634nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0608franco-colapinto
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0552oliver-bearman
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0550yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Carlos Sainz Jr0.0549carlos-sainz-jr
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0546sergio-perez
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0546esteban-ocon
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0503alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0493lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.7123

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7123lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6987kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.5998george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.5885charles-leclerc
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5879max-verstappen
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.5568oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.5548lando-norris
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.1935liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.1526arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1485pierre-gasly
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.1323fernando-alonso
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.1204nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.1183franco-colapinto
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.1073gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.1053valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.1017yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Carlos Sainz Jr0.0953carlos-sainz-jr
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0928oliver-bearman
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0901esteban-ocon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0871sergio-perez
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0830alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0729lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.8193

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.8193lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.8181kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7750charles-leclerc
  4. 4George Russell0.7745george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7690lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.7053oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6970max-verstappen
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5625arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5223liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4618pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.3702franco-colapinto
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3125nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.3027gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.2875yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.2829fernando-alonso
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.2544esteban-ocon
  17. 17Carlos Sainz Jr0.2527carlos-sainz-jr
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.2425oliver-bearman
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.2317alexander-albon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.1951sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.1920valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1711lance-stroll
After the sprint raceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1401

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1401kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.1001george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0702lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.0660lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.0558charles-leclerc
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.0554max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0467oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0346pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0344liam-lawson
  10. 10Nico Hulkenberg0.0335nico-hulkenberg
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0335arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0326gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.0319fernando-alonso
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0317franco-colapinto
  15. 15Valtteri Bottas0.0310valtteri-bottas
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0302yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0301oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0296esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0285alexander-albon
  20. 20Carlos Sainz Jr0.0284carlos-sainz-jr
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0283lance-stroll
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0274sergio-perez
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4446

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4446kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.4295lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.3311charles-leclerc
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2837max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.2817george-russell
  6. 6Lando Norris0.2724lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1513oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0656liam-lawson
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0648valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0648pierre-gasly
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0629nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0602arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.0582fernando-alonso
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0569gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0535franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0485yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Carlos Sainz Jr0.0484carlos-sainz-jr
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0479oliver-bearman
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0464esteban-ocon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0428sergio-perez
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0425alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0424lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1351

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1351kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0892lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.0660max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.0645george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.0621lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0607charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0506oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0349pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0347liam-lawson
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0344fernando-alonso
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0340nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0336arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0326gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0319franco-colapinto
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0305oliver-bearman
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0303yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0302esteban-ocon
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0301valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0289alexander-albon
  20. 20Carlos Sainz Jr0.0288carlos-sainz-jr
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0286sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0286lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4369

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4369kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3759lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.3169max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.2841george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2744lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2484charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1928oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0741pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0699liam-lawson
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0690fernando-alonso
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.0670nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0663arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0629gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.0607valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0582franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0522yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0513oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0512esteban-ocon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0488carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0480sergio-perez
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0463alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0449lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.7270

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7270lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7163kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.6226george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.6089charles-leclerc
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5996max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5732lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.5704oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.1857liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.1475arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1469pierre-gasly
  11. 11Nico Hulkenberg0.1304nico-hulkenberg
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.1151fernando-alonso
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.1111franco-colapinto
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.1047gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Yuki Tsunoda0.0943yuki-tsunoda
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0903valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0834oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0821esteban-ocon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0808carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0737alexander-albon
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0726sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0636lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8376

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8376kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.8364lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.7971george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.7963charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7894lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.7221oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.7116max-verstappen
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5641arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5201liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4656pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.3621franco-colapinto
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3329nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.3014gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.2777yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.2615fernando-alonso
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.2426esteban-ocon
  17. 17Carlos Sainz Jr0.2302carlos-sainz-jr
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.2288oliver-bearman
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.2170alexander-albon
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.1741valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.1741sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1572lance-stroll
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winLando Norris 0.4165

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.4165lando-norris
  2. 2George Russell0.2272george-russell
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.1138kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.0560oscar-piastri
  5. 5Sergio Perez0.0430sergio-perez
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0404lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Charles Leclerc0.0339charles-leclerc
  8. 8Max Verstappen0.0182max-verstappen
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0141liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0100arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0059franco-colapinto
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0050pierre-gasly
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0041gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0026carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.0025nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0025yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0017alexander-albon
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0009lance-stroll
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.0009fernando-alonso
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0008esteban-ocon
  21. 21Oliver Bearman0.0000oliver-bearman
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.0000valtteri-bottas
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4832

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4832kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3934lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.3327lando-norris
  4. 4George Russell0.3296george-russell
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.3105max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2481charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.2158oscar-piastri
  8. 8Sergio Perez0.1020sergio-perez
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0699liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0604pierre-gasly
  11. 11Gabriel Bortoleto0.0593gabriel-bortoleto
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0584arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0504nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.0422yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0404franco-colapinto
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0366fernando-alonso
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0340esteban-ocon
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0293alexander-albon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0290carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.0272valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Oliver Bearman0.0243oliver-bearman
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0232lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.7451

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7451kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.7389lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.6730george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.6462lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.6031charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6002oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.5798max-verstappen
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.2066liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.1499arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1389pierre-gasly
  11. 11Sergio Perez0.1372sergio-perez
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.1230gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.1128nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.0917yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0891franco-colapinto
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0659fernando-alonso
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0645esteban-ocon
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0548alexander-albon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0545carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0437oliver-bearman
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0431valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0380lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8522

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8522kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.8386lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.8279george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.8264lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.7965charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.7535oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.7136max-verstappen
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.5505liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5489arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4578pierre-gasly
  11. 11Gabriel Bortoleto0.3583gabriel-bortoleto
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.3343franco-colapinto
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.3269nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.2990yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.2490sergio-perez
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.2306esteban-ocon
  17. 17Fernando Alonso0.2052fernando-alonso
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.2019alexander-albon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.1998carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.1693oliver-bearman
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.1322lance-stroll
  22. 22Valtteri Bottas0.1273valtteri-bottas