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Round 13 · 2026-09-06

Italy

Monza

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 13. 12 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1154

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1154kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0959george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0782lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0688lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0550max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0536charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0451oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0359liam-lawson
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0350valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0340fernando-alonso
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0332pierre-gasly
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0329arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0325franco-colapinto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0324carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.0319oliver-bearman
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0318yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0316nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0315gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0314sergio-perez
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0313esteban-ocon
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0312alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0312lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4071

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4071kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3958lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3011george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2925lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.2731charles-leclerc
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2429max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1478oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0881valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0757liam-lawson
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0690fernando-alonso
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0686carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0625pierre-gasly
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.0613arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0610sergio-perez
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0594franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0582yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0574oliver-bearman
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0570nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0559gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0556esteban-ocon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0551lance-stroll
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0549alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1130

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1130kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0875lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0731lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0659max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.0626george-russell
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0591charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0495oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0361liam-lawson
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0358fernando-alonso
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0336pierre-gasly
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.0333valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0330arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0325franco-colapinto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0323carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.0321sergio-perez
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0320oliver-bearman
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0319yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0316esteban-ocon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0316gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0314nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0313alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0309lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3994

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3994kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3510lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.3072max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.2914george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2513lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2295charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1548oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0851valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0838fernando-alonso
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0796liam-lawson
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0712carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.0707sergio-perez
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.0694pierre-gasly
  14. 14Arvid Lindblad0.0662arvid-lindblad
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0641franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0621yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0618oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0614esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0605alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0602gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0600nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0593lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6529

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6529lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6406kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.5779charles-leclerc
  4. 4George Russell0.5589george-russell
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5413max-verstappen
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.5300oscar-piastri
  7. 7Lando Norris0.5152lando-norris
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.2263liam-lawson
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.1563fernando-alonso
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.1547valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.1483arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.1466carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.1353pierre-gasly
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.1342sergio-perez
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.1306franco-colapinto
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.1134alexander-albon
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.1127oliver-bearman
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.1119nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.1105esteban-ocon
  20. 20Yuki Tsunoda0.1042yuki-tsunoda
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0998lance-stroll
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0985gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.7721

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7721lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7685kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7310charles-leclerc
  4. 4George Russell0.7275george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7187lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6692oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6548max-verstappen
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.5816liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5244arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4485pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.3450franco-colapinto
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.3402fernando-alonso
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.3115carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.3062nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Yuki Tsunoda0.2902yuki-tsunoda
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.2847esteban-ocon
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.2714sergio-perez
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.2684oliver-bearman
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.2613gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.2564valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.2558alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.2126lance-stroll
After free practiceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1147

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1147kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0973george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0787lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0708lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.0562charles-leclerc
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.0538max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0443oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0378liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.0342arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0333pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0332franco-colapinto
  12. 12Valtteri Bottas0.0331valtteri-bottas
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0327gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.0318yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.0317sergio-perez
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0316fernando-alonso
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0315alexander-albon
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0314oliver-bearman
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0314carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0314nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0298esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0293lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4060

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4060kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.4019lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3079george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2941lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.2876charles-leclerc
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2362max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1413oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0850liam-lawson
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0767valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0668arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0644pierre-gasly
  12. 12Sergio Perez0.0636sergio-perez
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0634carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0626franco-colapinto
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0605gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0581fernando-alonso
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0580yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0574alexander-albon
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0561nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0553oliver-bearman
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0497esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0474lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1123

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1123kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0894lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0737lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0642max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.0641george-russell
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0619charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0485oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0381liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.0343arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0336pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0333franco-colapinto
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0332fernando-alonso
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0327gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0324sergio-perez
  15. 15Yuki Tsunoda0.0319yuki-tsunoda
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.0315alexander-albon
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.0315valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0315oliver-bearman
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0314carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0312nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0302esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0291lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3969

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3969kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3583lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.2984george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.2959max-verstappen
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2536lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2457charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1483oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0904liam-lawson
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0743valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0728arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Sergio Perez0.0728sergio-perez
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0710pierre-gasly
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.0704fernando-alonso
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0682franco-colapinto
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0661carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0658gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.0627alexander-albon
  18. 18Yuki Tsunoda0.0625yuki-tsunoda
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0599oliver-bearman
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0595nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0551esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0513lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6590

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6590lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6395kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.5968charles-leclerc
  4. 4George Russell0.5703george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.5201lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.5184max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.5103oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.2662liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.1727arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Franco Colapinto0.1460franco-colapinto
  11. 11Sergio Perez0.1383sergio-perez
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.1377pierre-gasly
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.1327carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.1280valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.1216fernando-alonso
  16. 16Alexander Albon0.1182alexander-albon
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.1170gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.1127nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.1098oliver-bearman
  20. 20Yuki Tsunoda0.1083yuki-tsunoda
  21. 21Esteban Ocon0.0952esteban-ocon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0812lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.7820

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7820lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.7700kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.7512charles-leclerc
  4. 4George Russell0.7398george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7241lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6540oscar-piastri
  7. 7Liam Lawson0.6229liam-lawson
  8. 8Max Verstappen0.6223max-verstappen
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5574arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4320pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.3801franco-colapinto
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3126nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.3089gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Yuki Tsunoda0.3042yuki-tsunoda
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.2937carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.2816fernando-alonso
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.2723sergio-perez
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.2694oliver-bearman
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.2582alexander-albon
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.2556esteban-ocon
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.2250valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1827lance-stroll
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winPierre Gasly 0.3998

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Pierre Gasly0.3998pierre-gasly
  2. 2George Russell0.2177george-russell
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.1090charles-leclerc
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0537lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Fernando Alonso0.0412fernando-alonso
  6. 6Liam Lawson0.0412liam-lawson
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.0387max-verstappen
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.0324oscar-piastri
  9. 9Franco Colapinto0.0174franco-colapinto
  10. 10Lando Norris0.0135lando-norris
  11. 11Gabriel Bortoleto0.0096gabriel-bortoleto
  12. 12Esteban Ocon0.0056esteban-ocon
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.0048oliver-bearman
  14. 14Arvid Lindblad0.0040arvid-lindblad
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.0025sergio-perez
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0024carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0024nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0016valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Kimi Antonelli0.0009kimi-antonelli
  20. 20Lance Stroll0.0008lance-stroll
  21. 21Yuki Tsunoda0.0008yuki-tsunoda
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0000alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, top 3Lewis Hamilton 0.3845

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.3845lewis-hamilton
  2. 2George Russell0.3411george-russell
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.3194max-verstappen
  4. 4Kimi Antonelli0.2824kimi-antonelli
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.2774charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lando Norris0.2371lando-norris
  7. 7Liam Lawson0.1622liam-lawson
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.1572oscar-piastri
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.1395fernando-alonso
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1128pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0739franco-colapinto
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0690arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0594gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.0520oliver-bearman
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0505carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.0484nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.0471valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0439sergio-perez
  19. 19Yuki Tsunoda0.0417yuki-tsunoda
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0402esteban-ocon
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0313alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0292lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6677

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6677lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.6148charles-leclerc
  3. 3George Russell0.6026george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.5353max-verstappen
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.5078oscar-piastri
  6. 6Lando Norris0.4867lando-norris
  7. 7Kimi Antonelli0.4863kimi-antonelli
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.3391liam-lawson
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.2618pierre-gasly
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.2023fernando-alonso
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.1843franco-colapinto
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.1837arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.1270gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.1147carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.1136oliver-bearman
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.1078nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0919sergio-perez
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0898valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Yuki Tsunoda0.0836yuki-tsunoda
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0819esteban-ocon
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0641alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0531lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Lewis Hamilton 0.7757

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.7757lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.7544charles-leclerc
  3. 3George Russell0.7528george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.6981lando-norris
  5. 5Kimi Antonelli0.6623kimi-antonelli
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6580oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6457max-verstappen
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.6067liam-lawson
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.5608pierre-gasly
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.5443arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.4393franco-colapinto
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.3437fernando-alonso
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.3409gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.3178nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Oliver Bearman0.2982oliver-bearman
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.2908carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.2748yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.2514esteban-ocon
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.2288sergio-perez
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.2065valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.1898alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1593lance-stroll