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Round 14 · 2026-09-13

Spain

Madring

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 14. 13 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1261

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1261kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0871george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0847lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0738lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0598max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0570charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0489oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0456pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0384liam-lawson
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0372valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0361fernando-alonso
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0353arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0347franco-colapinto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0345carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Yuki Tsunoda0.0340yuki-tsunoda
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.0336nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0335gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0334sergio-perez
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0333esteban-ocon
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0332alexander-albon
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Lewis Hamilton 0.4081

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.4081lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.4003kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.3217george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.2802charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2690lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2561max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1925oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0902valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0848pierre-gasly
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0786liam-lawson
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0708fernando-alonso
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.0703carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.0638arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0625sergio-perez
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0617franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0601yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0585nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0574gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0571esteban-ocon
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0563alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1186

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1186kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0870lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0735lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0662max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.0640george-russell
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0583charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0497oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0358liam-lawson
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0352fernando-alonso
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0334pierre-gasly
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.0328valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0327arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0322franco-colapinto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0318carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Sergio Perez0.0316sergio-perez
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0315yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0315oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0311esteban-ocon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0310gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0309nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0308alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0304lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4049

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4049kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.3290george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.3196lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.3091max-verstappen
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2538lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2259charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1569oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0834valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0821fernando-alonso
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0793liam-lawson
  11. 11Carlos Sainz Jr0.0698carlos-sainz-jr
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0697pierre-gasly
  13. 13Sergio Perez0.0693sergio-perez
  14. 14Arvid Lindblad0.0659arvid-lindblad
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0637franco-colapinto
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.0614yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0606oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0602esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0593alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0591gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0588nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0581lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6432

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6432lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6403kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.5887george-russell
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.5582oscar-piastri
  5. 5Lando Norris0.5467lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.5439charles-leclerc
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.5431max-verstappen
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.2263liam-lawson
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.1531fernando-alonso
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.1514valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.1473arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.1435carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.1372pierre-gasly
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.1314sergio-perez
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1111alexander-albon
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.1102oliver-bearman
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.1096nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.1088franco-colapinto
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.1083esteban-ocon
  20. 20Yuki Tsunoda0.1034yuki-tsunoda
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0977lance-stroll
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0965gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7726

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7726kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.7668lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.7478george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.7350lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.7093charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6937oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6623max-verstappen
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5609arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5514liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4543pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.3518franco-colapinto
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.3359fernando-alonso
  13. 13Yuki Tsunoda0.3224yuki-tsunoda
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.3024nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.2809esteban-ocon
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.2770carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.2677sergio-perez
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.2571gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.2529valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.2523alexander-albon
  21. 21Oliver Bearman0.2355oliver-bearman
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.2099lance-stroll
After free practiceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1272

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1272kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0897george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0852lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0749lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0612max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0589charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0491oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0446pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0385liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0367arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0353fernando-alonso
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0345nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0344franco-colapinto
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.0343valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0339gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0334esteban-ocon
  17. 17Carlos Sainz Jr0.0332carlos-sainz-jr
  18. 18Yuki Tsunoda0.0323yuki-tsunoda
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0312alexander-albon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0312sergio-perez
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Lewis Hamilton 0.4119

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.4119lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.4061kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.3339george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.2906charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2718lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2636max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1920oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0808pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0793liam-lawson
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0747valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0698arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0670fernando-alonso
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0640carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0624nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0605franco-colapinto
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0589gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0575esteban-ocon
  18. 18Yuki Tsunoda0.0536yuki-tsunoda
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0530sergio-perez
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0487alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1198

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1198kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0880lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0743lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0677max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.0665george-russell
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0604charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0499oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0360liam-lawson
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0345fernando-alonso
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0341arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0329pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0320franco-colapinto
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0319nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0315gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0313esteban-ocon
  16. 16Carlos Sainz Jr0.0307carlos-sainz-jr
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0306oliver-bearman
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0303valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Yuki Tsunoda0.0301yuki-tsunoda
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0296sergio-perez
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0290alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0289lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4101

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4101kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.3409george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.3248lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.3153max-verstappen
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2572lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2378charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1580oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0809liam-lawson
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0779fernando-alonso
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0729arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.0692valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0672pierre-gasly
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0640carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0636nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0631franco-colapinto
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0614gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0613esteban-ocon
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0589sergio-perez
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0569oliver-bearman
  20. 20Yuki Tsunoda0.0553yuki-tsunoda
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0517lance-stroll
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0516alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, top 6Lewis Hamilton 0.6529

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Lewis Hamilton0.6529lewis-hamilton
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.6518kimi-antonelli
  3. 3George Russell0.6086george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.5640charles-leclerc
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.5591oscar-piastri
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.5583max-verstappen
  7. 7Lando Norris0.5548lando-norris
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.2326liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.1731arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1441fernando-alonso
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.1321pierre-gasly
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.1275carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.1263nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.1157valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.1139esteban-ocon
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.1100franco-colapinto
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.1056gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.1038sergio-perez
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.1020oliver-bearman
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0908alexander-albon
  21. 21Yuki Tsunoda0.0898yuki-tsunoda
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0832lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7859

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7859kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.7787lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.7675george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.7445lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.7311charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6986oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6855max-verstappen
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5932arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5583liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4410pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.3558franco-colapinto
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3430nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.3267fernando-alonso
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.2985esteban-ocon
  15. 15Yuki Tsunoda0.2900yuki-tsunoda
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.2841gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Carlos Sainz Jr0.2577carlos-sainz-jr
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.2274oliver-bearman
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.2231sergio-perez
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.2170alexander-albon
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.2049valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1877lance-stroll
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winLando Norris 0.4166

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Lando Norris0.4166lando-norris
  2. 2Kimi Antonelli0.2268kimi-antonelli
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.1136max-verstappen
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0559lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Oliver Bearman0.0430oliver-bearman
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0404charles-leclerc
  7. 7George Russell0.0338george-russell
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.0181oscar-piastri
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0140liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0100arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0059pierre-gasly
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0050nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.0041franco-colapinto
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.0026fernando-alonso
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0025esteban-ocon
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0025gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.0018valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0017alexander-albon
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0009sergio-perez
  20. 20Yuki Tsunoda0.0008yuki-tsunoda
  21. 21Carlos Sainz Jr0.0000carlos-sainz-jr
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0000lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4592

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4592kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3529max-verstappen
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.3516lewis-hamilton
  4. 4George Russell0.3468george-russell
  5. 5Lando Norris0.3130lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2513charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1581oscar-piastri
  8. 8Oliver Bearman0.1165oliver-bearman
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0813liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0652arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0618franco-colapinto
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.0545nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0498gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.0480pierre-gasly
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0468esteban-ocon
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0460fernando-alonso
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0379yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0368valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0336alexander-albon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0335sergio-perez
  21. 21Carlos Sainz Jr0.0315carlos-sainz-jr
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0242lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6883

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6883kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.6787lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.6152lando-norris
  4. 4George Russell0.6136george-russell
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5972max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.5797charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.5528oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.2532liam-lawson
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.1823oliver-bearman
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.1767arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.1340franco-colapinto
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.1288nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.1086pierre-gasly
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.1045gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.1033esteban-ocon
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0939fernando-alonso
  17. 17Yuki Tsunoda0.0743yuki-tsunoda
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.0696alexander-albon
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0677valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Carlos Sainz Jr0.0676carlos-sainz-jr
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0666sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0437lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8085

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8085kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.7932lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.7797lando-norris
  4. 4George Russell0.7737george-russell
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.7454charles-leclerc
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.7231max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.7020oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.5772liam-lawson
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5749arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Franco Colapinto0.4044franco-colapinto
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.3995pierre-gasly
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3620nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Oliver Bearman0.3052oliver-bearman
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.3040gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.3012esteban-ocon
  16. 16Yuki Tsunoda0.2736yuki-tsunoda
  17. 17Fernando Alonso0.2715fernando-alonso
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.2073alexander-albon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.1925carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.1904sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.1692valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1415lance-stroll