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Round 15 · 2026-09-26

Azerbaijan

Baku

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 15. 14 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1014

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1014kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0972lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.0822george-russell
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0684lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0569max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0537charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0457oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0423pierre-gasly
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0368isack-hadjar
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0344valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0340liam-lawson
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0334fernando-alonso
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.0327arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0324franco-colapinto
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0319carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0314oliver-bearman
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0311nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0310gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.0309sergio-perez
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0308esteban-ocon
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0307alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0307lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3878

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3878kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3577lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3093george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2962lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.2684charles-leclerc
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2507max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1834oscar-piastri
  8. 8Valtteri Bottas0.0846valtteri-bottas
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0803isack-hadjar
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0801pierre-gasly
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0669liam-lawson
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0665fernando-alonso
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0660carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Arvid Lindblad0.0603arvid-lindblad
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0592franco-colapinto
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0587sergio-perez
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0553oliver-bearman
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0551nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0539gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.0536esteban-ocon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0531lance-stroll
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0529alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1234

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1234kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0856lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0739lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0669max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.0645george-russell
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0583charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0493oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0365isack-hadjar
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0345fernando-alonso
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0335liam-lawson
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0329pierre-gasly
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0322arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.0321valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0319franco-colapinto
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0312carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0310sergio-perez
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0309oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0305esteban-ocon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0305gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0303nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0302alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0299lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3996

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3996kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3338max-verstappen
  3. 3George Russell0.3234george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.2824lando-norris
  5. 5Lewis Hamilton0.2797lewis-hamilton
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2224charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1534oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.1083isack-hadjar
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0800valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0789fernando-alonso
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0683liam-lawson
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0674pierre-gasly
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0670carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0665sergio-perez
  15. 15Arvid Lindblad0.0638arvid-lindblad
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0625franco-colapinto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0583oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0579esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0570alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0569gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0567nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0559lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6049

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6049kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.5897lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.5737george-russell
  4. 4Lando Norris0.5416lando-norris
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5411max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.5369charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.5012oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.4502isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.1834liam-lawson
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1424fernando-alonso
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.1407valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.1334carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.1289pierre-gasly
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.1222sergio-perez
  15. 15Arvid Lindblad0.1151arvid-lindblad
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.1046franco-colapinto
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.1033alexander-albon
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.1026nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.1023oliver-bearman
  20. 20Esteban Ocon0.1008esteban-ocon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0910lance-stroll
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0899gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7574

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7574kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7418george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.7354lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.7311lando-norris
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.7087charles-leclerc
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.6788oscar-piastri
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.6770max-verstappen
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.6078isack-hadjar
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5508arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.4878liam-lawson
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.4103pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.3856franco-colapinto
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.3251nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.2943fernando-alonso
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.2674carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.2586sergio-perez
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.2482gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.2443valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.2432esteban-ocon
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.2263oliver-bearman
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.2173alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.2028lance-stroll
After free practiceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1012

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1012kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0934lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.0851george-russell
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0699lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0599max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0558charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0469oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0410pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0355liam-lawson
  10. 10Isack Hadjar0.0342isack-hadjar
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0340arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.0322carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.0320valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0319esteban-ocon
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0319gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Fernando Alonso0.0318fernando-alonso
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0317nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.0310franco-colapinto
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0309oliver-bearman
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0308alexander-albon
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0300sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0288lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3903

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3903kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3648lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3227george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.2801charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2793lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2672max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1892oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0742pierre-gasly
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0731liam-lawson
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0707valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Isack Hadjar0.0675isack-hadjar
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.0666carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.0653arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.0588fernando-alonso
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0577esteban-ocon
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.0571nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0569gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0542sergio-perez
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0531franco-colapinto
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0529oliver-bearman
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0529alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0454lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1227

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1227kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.0869lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0708lando-norris
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0699max-verstappen
  5. 5George Russell0.0670george-russell
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0605charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0504oscar-piastri
  8. 8Liam Lawson0.0350liam-lawson
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0339isack-hadjar
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.0335arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0328fernando-alonso
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0319pierre-gasly
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0316esteban-ocon
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0315carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0313gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.0309nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.0306franco-colapinto
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.0304oliver-bearman
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0303alexander-albon
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0301sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.0299valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0280lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4017

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4017kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3476max-verstappen
  3. 3George Russell0.3364george-russell
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.2873lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2645lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2350charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1600oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0916isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0755liam-lawson
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0699fernando-alonso
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0697arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.0682carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.0670valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Pierre Gasly0.0629pierre-gasly
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0629esteban-ocon
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0616sergio-perez
  17. 17Gabriel Bortoleto0.0606gabriel-bortoleto
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0594nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0574alexander-albon
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.0564franco-colapinto
  21. 21Oliver Bearman0.0562oliver-bearman
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0481lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6146

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6146kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.6032lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.5932george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.5657max-verstappen
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.5566charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5218lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.5138oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.3927isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.2097liam-lawson
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.1385carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.1345arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.1199fernando-alonso
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.1177pierre-gasly
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.1170esteban-ocon
  15. 15Nico Hulkenberg0.1120nico-hulkenberg
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.1101sergio-perez
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.1083valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.1061alexander-albon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.1023gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.0984oliver-bearman
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0908franco-colapinto
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0731lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7643

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7643kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7581george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.7474lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.7266charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7156lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.7057max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.6913oscar-piastri
  8. 8Arvid Lindblad0.5745arvid-lindblad
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.5422isack-hadjar
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.5245liam-lawson
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.3829pierre-gasly
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3474nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.3459franco-colapinto
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.2844carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.2831esteban-ocon
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.2817gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Fernando Alonso0.2590fernando-alonso
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.2416sergio-perez
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.2305alexander-albon
  20. 20Oliver Bearman0.2251oliver-bearman
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.1978valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1704lance-stroll
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winGeorge Russell 0.4342

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.4342george-russell
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.2373charles-leclerc
  3. 3Oscar Piastri0.1184oscar-piastri
  4. 4Isack Hadjar0.0583isack-hadjar
  5. 5Lando Norris0.0421lando-norris
  6. 6Lewis Hamilton0.0352lewis-hamilton
  7. 7Pierre Gasly0.0189pierre-gasly
  8. 8Max Verstappen0.0146max-verstappen
  9. 9Oliver Bearman0.0104oliver-bearman
  10. 10Carlos Sainz Jr0.0061carlos-sainz-jr
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0052liam-lawson
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.0043franco-colapinto
  13. 13Gabriel Bortoleto0.0027gabriel-bortoleto
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0026esteban-ocon
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.0026alexander-albon
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0019valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Kimi Antonelli0.0018kimi-antonelli
  18. 18Lance Stroll0.0016lance-stroll
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0009nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Arvid Lindblad0.0009arvid-lindblad
  21. 21Fernando Alonso0.0000fernando-alonso
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0000sergio-perez
Grand Prix race, top 3George Russell 0.4101

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.4101george-russell
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3581max-verstappen
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.3528kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.3086lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2982lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2931charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.2033oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.1229isack-hadjar
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0739pierre-gasly
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0667liam-lawson
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.0596franco-colapinto
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.0554oliver-bearman
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0512carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.0501esteban-ocon
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.0496alexander-albon
  16. 16Arvid Lindblad0.0483arvid-lindblad
  17. 17Valtteri Bottas0.0376valtteri-bottas
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0375gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Nico Hulkenberg0.0346nico-hulkenberg
  20. 20Fernando Alonso0.0341fernando-alonso
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0320sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0224lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6George Russell 0.6530

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.6530george-russell
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.6309lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Charles Leclerc0.6141charles-leclerc
  4. 4Oscar Piastri0.5686oscar-piastri
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5660max-verstappen
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.5586kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Lando Norris0.5558lando-norris
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.4595isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.1972liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1639pierre-gasly
  11. 11Franco Colapinto0.1183franco-colapinto
  12. 12Oliver Bearman0.1165oliver-bearman
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.1145carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Esteban Ocon0.1068esteban-ocon
  15. 15Alexander Albon0.1067alexander-albon
  16. 16Arvid Lindblad0.1035arvid-lindblad
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0712nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.0712gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Valtteri Bottas0.0652valtteri-bottas
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0607sergio-perez
  21. 21Fernando Alonso0.0607fernando-alonso
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0370lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10George Russell 0.7943

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1George Russell0.7943george-russell
  2. 2Charles Leclerc0.7644charles-leclerc
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.7623lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Lando Norris0.7398lando-norris
  5. 5Oscar Piastri0.7314oscar-piastri
  6. 6Kimi Antonelli0.7274kimi-antonelli
  7. 7Max Verstappen0.7058max-verstappen
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.6184isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.5108liam-lawson
  10. 10Arvid Lindblad0.4989arvid-lindblad
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.4560pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.4001franco-colapinto
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.2897esteban-ocon
  14. 14Oliver Bearman0.2827oliver-bearman
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.2785carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Nico Hulkenberg0.2761nico-hulkenberg
  17. 17Alexander Albon0.2617alexander-albon
  18. 18Gabriel Bortoleto0.2422gabriel-bortoleto
  19. 19Fernando Alonso0.1855fernando-alonso
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.1835sergio-perez
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.1656valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1249lance-stroll