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Round 16 · 2026-10-04

Bahrain

Sepang

The open block is the current prediction. Earlier blocks are history.

Round 16. 15 earlier races from 2026 are included. Each block uses only the sessions already known.

Before the weekendHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1018

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1018kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0960lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.0851george-russell
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0686lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0581max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0542charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0451oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0418pierre-gasly
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0377isack-hadjar
  10. 10Valtteri Bottas0.0340valtteri-bottas
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0337liam-lawson
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0330fernando-alonso
  13. 13Arvid Lindblad0.0327arvid-lindblad
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0321franco-colapinto
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0316carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0312oliver-bearman
  17. 17Nico Hulkenberg0.0307nico-hulkenberg
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0307esteban-ocon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0307gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0305sergio-perez
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0304alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0303lance-stroll
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3592

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3592kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3253lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3159george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.3038charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2896lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2555max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.2148oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0839isack-hadjar
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0828valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0784pierre-gasly
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0659liam-lawson
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0651fernando-alonso
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0649carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Arvid Lindblad0.0604arvid-lindblad
  15. 15Franco Colapinto0.0580franco-colapinto
  16. 16Sergio Perez0.0575sergio-perez
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0548oliver-bearman
  18. 18Nico Hulkenberg0.0540nico-hulkenberg
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.0534esteban-ocon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0529gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0520lance-stroll
  22. 22Alexander Albon0.0519alexander-albon
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1235

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1235kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0803george-russell
  3. 3Lando Norris0.0730lando-norris
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0722lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0683max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0590charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0486oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0374isack-hadjar
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0341fernando-alonso
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0332liam-lawson
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.0325pierre-gasly
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0322arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.0318valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Franco Colapinto0.0316franco-colapinto
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0309carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0307oliver-bearman
  17. 17Sergio Perez0.0307sergio-perez
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0305esteban-ocon
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.0301gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0300nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0299alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0295lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3981

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3981kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3625max-verstappen
  3. 3George Russell0.3318george-russell
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.2516lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2488lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2259charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1505oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.1411isack-hadjar
  9. 9Valtteri Bottas0.0790valtteri-bottas
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.0779fernando-alonso
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0679liam-lawson
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0665pierre-gasly
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0664carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.0657sergio-perez
  15. 15Arvid Lindblad0.0643arvid-lindblad
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0618franco-colapinto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0582oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0581esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0564alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0562gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Nico Hulkenberg0.0561nico-hulkenberg
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0552lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6095

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6095kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.5866lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.5781george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.5563charles-leclerc
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.5471max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5140lando-norris
  7. 7Isack Hadjar0.4928isack-hadjar
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.4677oscar-piastri
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.1824liam-lawson
  10. 10Fernando Alonso0.1405fernando-alonso
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.1387valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Carlos Sainz Jr0.1322carlos-sainz-jr
  13. 13Pierre Gasly0.1272pierre-gasly
  14. 14Sergio Perez0.1206sergio-perez
  15. 15Arvid Lindblad0.1166arvid-lindblad
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.1032franco-colapinto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.1026oliver-bearman
  18. 18Alexander Albon0.1021alexander-albon
  19. 19Esteban Ocon0.1020esteban-ocon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.1013nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0899lance-stroll
  22. 22Gabriel Bortoleto0.0888gabriel-bortoleto
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7609

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7609kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7452george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.7337lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.7215charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.7138lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.6871max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.6544oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.6455isack-hadjar
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5575arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.4536liam-lawson
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.3743pierre-gasly
  12. 12Franco Colapinto0.3491franco-colapinto
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.3220nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.2961carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.2916fernando-alonso
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.2757esteban-ocon
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.2585oliver-bearman
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.2562sergio-perez
  19. 19Gabriel Bortoleto0.2450gabriel-bortoleto
  20. 20Valtteri Bottas0.2420valtteri-bottas
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.2155alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.2009lance-stroll
After free practiceHistory
Grand Prix qualifying, quickestKimi Antonelli 0.1014

Share of one pole. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1014kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lando Norris0.0934lando-norris
  3. 3George Russell0.0872george-russell
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.0690lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.0614max-verstappen
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0558charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0445oscar-piastri
  8. 8Pierre Gasly0.0435pierre-gasly
  9. 9Isack Hadjar0.0400isack-hadjar
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0349liam-lawson
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.0337arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Fernando Alonso0.0328fernando-alonso
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.0319valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0316nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Gabriel Bortoleto0.0307gabriel-bortoleto
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0305oliver-bearman
  17. 17Franco Colapinto0.0304franco-colapinto
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0302esteban-ocon
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0298carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0295alexander-albon
  21. 21Lance Stroll0.0292lance-stroll
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0285sergio-perez
Grand Prix qualifying, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3610

Chance of a top-three qualifying finish. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3610kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.3278lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.3259george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.3122charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2786lando-norris
  6. 6Max Verstappen0.2737max-verstappen
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.2078oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0954isack-hadjar
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0856pierre-gasly
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0707liam-lawson
  11. 11Valtteri Bottas0.0705valtteri-bottas
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0640arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.0634fernando-alonso
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0571nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0563carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0528gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0514oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0512esteban-ocon
  19. 19Franco Colapinto0.0511franco-colapinto
  20. 20Sergio Perez0.0483sergio-perez
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0481alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0473lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, winKimi Antonelli 0.1227

Share of one race win. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.1227kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.0822george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.0726lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.0716max-verstappen
  5. 5Lando Norris0.0709lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.0607charles-leclerc
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.0479oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0397isack-hadjar
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.0344liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0340pierre-gasly
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0339fernando-alonso
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0332arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.0309nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.0302gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.0300esteban-ocon
  16. 16Franco Colapinto0.0300franco-colapinto
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0300oliver-bearman
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0298valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Carlos Sainz Jr0.0292carlos-sainz-jr
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.0290alexander-albon
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0286sergio-perez
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0285lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.3996

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.3996kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.3759max-verstappen
  3. 3George Russell0.3408george-russell
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.2536lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Lando Norris0.2366lando-norris
  6. 6Charles Leclerc0.2349charles-leclerc
  7. 7Isack Hadjar0.1564isack-hadjar
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.1454oscar-piastri
  9. 9Fernando Alonso0.0758fernando-alonso
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.0737pierre-gasly
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0735liam-lawson
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.0687arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Valtteri Bottas0.0673valtteri-bottas
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0598nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.0578carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.0565gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0561esteban-ocon
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0552sergio-perez
  19. 19Oliver Bearman0.0550oliver-bearman
  20. 20Franco Colapinto0.0546franco-colapinto
  21. 21Alexander Albon0.0524alexander-albon
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0504lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6176

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6176kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.5937lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.5916george-russell
  4. 4Max Verstappen0.5699max-verstappen
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.5687charles-leclerc
  6. 6Isack Hadjar0.5185isack-hadjar
  7. 7Lando Norris0.4979lando-norris
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.4553oscar-piastri
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.2024liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1505pierre-gasly
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.1367fernando-alonso
  12. 12Arvid Lindblad0.1312arvid-lindblad
  13. 13Nico Hulkenberg0.1135nico-hulkenberg
  14. 14Valtteri Bottas0.1097valtteri-bottas
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.1076carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.0978esteban-ocon
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0951oliver-bearman
  18. 18Sergio Perez0.0926sergio-perez
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0921alexander-albon
  20. 20Gabriel Bortoleto0.0916gabriel-bortoleto
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0865franco-colapinto
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.0792lance-stroll
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.7685

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.7685kimi-antonelli
  2. 2George Russell0.7583george-russell
  3. 3Lewis Hamilton0.7411lewis-hamilton
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.7346charles-leclerc
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.7155max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.7033lando-norris
  7. 7Isack Hadjar0.6769isack-hadjar
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.6448oscar-piastri
  9. 9Arvid Lindblad0.5732arvid-lindblad
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.4854liam-lawson
  11. 11Pierre Gasly0.4216pierre-gasly
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3523nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Franco Colapinto0.3054franco-colapinto
  14. 14Fernando Alonso0.2928fernando-alonso
  15. 15Esteban Ocon0.2702esteban-ocon
  16. 16Gabriel Bortoleto0.2571gabriel-bortoleto
  17. 17Carlos Sainz Jr0.2532carlos-sainz-jr
  18. 18Oliver Bearman0.2474oliver-bearman
  19. 19Sergio Perez0.2073sergio-perez
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.2035alexander-albon
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.2020valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Lance Stroll0.1854lance-stroll
After Grand Prix qualifyingCurrent prediction
Grand Prix race, winMax Verstappen 0.4347

Share of one win, from earlier races that started in this slot. This list adds up to 1.

  1. 1Max Verstappen0.4347max-verstappen
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.2371lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Kimi Antonelli0.1183kimi-antonelli
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.0583charles-leclerc
  5. 5Lando Norris0.0421lando-norris
  6. 6Oscar Piastri0.0352oscar-piastri
  7. 7George Russell0.0189george-russell
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.0146isack-hadjar
  9. 9Gabriel Bortoleto0.0104gabriel-bortoleto
  10. 10Lance Stroll0.0061lance-stroll
  11. 11Liam Lawson0.0052liam-lawson
  12. 12Pierre Gasly0.0043pierre-gasly
  13. 13Esteban Ocon0.0027esteban-ocon
  14. 14Carlos Sainz Jr0.0026carlos-sainz-jr
  15. 15Fernando Alonso0.0026fernando-alonso
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0019valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0018oliver-bearman
  18. 18Arvid Lindblad0.0016arvid-lindblad
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0009alexander-albon
  20. 20Nico Hulkenberg0.0009nico-hulkenberg
  21. 21Franco Colapinto0.0000franco-colapinto
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.0000sergio-perez
Grand Prix race, top 3Kimi Antonelli 0.4564

Chance of finishing the race in the top 3. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.4564kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Max Verstappen0.4445max-verstappen
  3. 3George Russell0.3503george-russell
  4. 4Lewis Hamilton0.3073lewis-hamilton
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.2663charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lando Norris0.2617lando-norris
  7. 7Oscar Piastri0.1595oscar-piastri
  8. 8Isack Hadjar0.1517isack-hadjar
  9. 9Pierre Gasly0.0722pierre-gasly
  10. 10Liam Lawson0.0637liam-lawson
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.0631fernando-alonso
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.0542gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.0467carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0412nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.0384lance-stroll
  16. 16Valtteri Bottas0.0368valtteri-bottas
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.0363oliver-bearman
  18. 18Esteban Ocon0.0346esteban-ocon
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0306alexander-albon
  20. 20Arvid Lindblad0.0297arvid-lindblad
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0286sergio-perez
  22. 22Franco Colapinto0.0262franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 6Kimi Antonelli 0.6688

Chance of finishing the race in the top 6. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.6688kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.6487lewis-hamilton
  3. 3Max Verstappen0.6324max-verstappen
  4. 4George Russell0.6123george-russell
  5. 5Charles Leclerc0.6100charles-leclerc
  6. 6Lando Norris0.5334lando-norris
  7. 7Isack Hadjar0.5168isack-hadjar
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.4812oscar-piastri
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.1918liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.1710pierre-gasly
  11. 11Fernando Alonso0.1307fernando-alonso
  12. 12Gabriel Bortoleto0.1099gabriel-bortoleto
  13. 13Carlos Sainz Jr0.1014carlos-sainz-jr
  14. 14Nico Hulkenberg0.0901nico-hulkenberg
  15. 15Lance Stroll0.0735lance-stroll
  16. 16Oliver Bearman0.0730oliver-bearman
  17. 17Esteban Ocon0.0691esteban-ocon
  18. 18Valtteri Bottas0.0658valtteri-bottas
  19. 19Alexander Albon0.0611alexander-albon
  20. 20Arvid Lindblad0.0600arvid-lindblad
  21. 21Sergio Perez0.0529sergio-perez
  22. 22Franco Colapinto0.0460franco-colapinto
Grand Prix race, top 10Kimi Antonelli 0.8070

Chance of finishing the race in the top 10. At most 1.

  1. 1Kimi Antonelli0.8070kimi-antonelli
  2. 2Lewis Hamilton0.7848lewis-hamilton
  3. 3George Russell0.7811george-russell
  4. 4Charles Leclerc0.7698charles-leclerc
  5. 5Max Verstappen0.7681max-verstappen
  6. 6Lando Norris0.7374lando-norris
  7. 7Isack Hadjar0.6878isack-hadjar
  8. 8Oscar Piastri0.6796oscar-piastri
  9. 9Liam Lawson0.4847liam-lawson
  10. 10Pierre Gasly0.4599pierre-gasly
  11. 11Arvid Lindblad0.4069arvid-lindblad
  12. 12Nico Hulkenberg0.3212nico-hulkenberg
  13. 13Fernando Alonso0.3145fernando-alonso
  14. 14Gabriel Bortoleto0.3133gabriel-bortoleto
  15. 15Carlos Sainz Jr0.2723carlos-sainz-jr
  16. 16Esteban Ocon0.2373esteban-ocon
  17. 17Oliver Bearman0.2329oliver-bearman
  18. 18Franco Colapinto0.2204franco-colapinto
  19. 19Lance Stroll0.2061lance-stroll
  20. 20Alexander Albon0.1802alexander-albon
  21. 21Valtteri Bottas0.1701valtteri-bottas
  22. 22Sergio Perez0.1647sergio-perez